Match Info

Super League - Round 9

Date: 9 May 2025, Friday

Location: Dinamo Samarkand Stadium (Samarkand)

Referee: Tukhtasinov T. (Uzb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Tajikistan	Futbol TV


	Dinamo Samarqand		Surkhon Termez

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	3.4
	2.13	3.05	3.3
	2.13	3.18	3.57
	2.09	3.17	3.4	Watch
	2.15	3.19	3.44
	2.13	3.05	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (1.96)	3.12 ↑ (2.95)	3.4 ↓ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dinamo Samarqand
43.6%

Draw
29.4%

Surkhon Termez
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

30.1%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

28.9%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dinamo Samarqand has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Surkhon Termez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo Samarqand than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Surkhon Termez than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Dinamo Samarqand - Surkhon Termez Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Dinamo Samarqand (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Yagudin R. (G) 17. Mustafoev S. 6. Urozov J. 18. Kucherenko O. 22. Abdullaev U. 7. Ratinho 88. Stanojevic M. 16. Friday R. 10. Khozhimirzaev A. 8. Kodirkulov S. 9. Mirakhmadov M.	1. Potapov A. (G) 7. Tursunov D. 5. Khodzhaniyazov D. 6. Shamsiev B. (C) 66. Shaydulov B. 27. Jumaev A. 15. Ramazonov D. 24. Komilov S. 3. Khamidzhonov S. 10. Pletnev D. 19. Abdurakhmonov M.
Coaches
Abramov V.	Davletov F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Friday R. ⚽, Khozhimirzaev A. (A),
39', Kodirkulov S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kodirkulov S. ↓, Maykon Douglas ↑,
46', Ramazonov D. ↓, Karimov A. ↑,
50', Jumaev A. 🟨,
60', Friday R. ↓, Khalilov K. ↑,
63', Mirakhmadov M. ↓, Urmonjonov O. ↑,
63', Jumaev A. ↓, Karimov B. ↑,
63', Komilov S. ↓, Kratkov D. ↑,
88', Abdurakhmonov M. ↓, Khaydarov A. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dinamo Samarqand won 3.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Surkhon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Dinamo Samarqand has had a series of away games.

Dinamo Samarqand is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Dinamo Samarqand won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Dinamo Samarqand won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dinamo Samarqand
Uzbek League
04.05.25	Shurtan Guzar - Dinamo Samarqand	1:3 ✺
20.04.25	Andijan - Dinamo Samarqand	1:2 ✺
12.04.25	Dinamo Samarqand - Sogdiana Jizzakh	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	AGMK - Dinamo Samarqand	0:0 ✺
29.03.25	Pakhtakor - Dinamo Samarqand	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.7 WWTTW
- Surkhon Termez
Uzbek League
03.05.25	Surkhon Termez - Pakhtakor	2:1 ✺
26.04.25	Mashal Mubarek - Surkhon Termez	0:0 ✺
21.04.25	Surkhon Termez - Navbahor Namangan	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	Nasaf Qarshi - Surkhon Termez	1:0 ✺
04.04.25	Surkhon Termez - Kokand 1912	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Uzbek League
26.09.24	Dinamo Samarqand - Surkhon Termez	3:0
13.05.24	Surkhon Termez - Dinamo Samarqand	1:1
07.11.22	Surkhon Termez - Dinamo Samarqand	1:4
18.06.22	Dinamo Samarqand - Surkhon Termez	1:3
27.11.19	Dinamo Samarqand - Surkhon Termez	2:1
30.03.19	Surkhon Termez - Dinamo Samarqand	1:0

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