Match Info

Date: 10 June 2021, Thursday


	Metallurg Lipetsk		Kaluga

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.5	4.1	5.25
	1.43	4.3	5
	1.41	4.66	5.62
	1.4	4.33	6
	1.43	4.65	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.31)	4.41 ↓ (4.5)	5.53 ↓ (10)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metallurg Lipetsk
63.1%

Draw
20.5%

Kaluga
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.3%

20.5%

9.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

80.2%

18%

8.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metallurg Lipetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Metallurg Lipetsk's form might have worsened.

Kaluga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kaluga's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metallurg Lipetsk than the current prediction. (+17.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Metallurg Lipetsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaluga than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kaluga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Metallurg Lipetsk - Kaluga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL and 7).

Metallurg Lipetsk is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Kaluga is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Metallurg Lipetsk is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Metallurg Lipetsk won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Metallurg Lipetsk won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Metallurg Lipetsk
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
04.06.21	Avangard Kursk - Metallurg Lipetsk	2:2 ✺
30.05.21	Metallurg Lipetsk - Sokol Saratov	1:0 ✺
25.05.21	Metallurg Vidnoe - Metallurg Lipetsk	0:1 ✺
21.05.21	Metallurg Lipetsk - Ryazan	3:1 ✺
15.05.21	Krasnyy Smolensk - Metallurg Lipetsk	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TWWWL
- FC Kaluga
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
04.06.21	Kaluga - Strogino Moskva	0:2 ✺
30.05.21	Salyut Belgorod - Kaluga	3:1 ✺
25.05.21	Kaluga - Krasnoye Znamya	3:2 ✺
21.05.21	Kaluga - Metallurg Vidnoe	4:0 ✺
15.05.21	Sakhalin - Kaluga	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Group 3
08.11.20	Kaluga - Metallurg Lipetsk	2:1
Russian PFL Center
30.08.19	Metallurg Lipetsk - Kaluga	0:1
20.10.18	Kaluga - Metallurg Lipetsk	2:0
26.07.18	Metallurg Lipetsk - Kaluga	1:0
11.05.18	Metallurg Lipetsk - Kaluga	2:0
30.09.17	Kaluga - Metallurg Lipetsk	0:1
14.05.17	Kaluga - Metallurg Lipetsk	1:1

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