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Current Win Probability
Zenit Penza 21.9%
Draw 24.6%
Saturn Ramenskoye 53.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.2%
27%
47.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.7%
26.5%
48.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zenit Penza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
Saturn Ramenskoye has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Saturn Ramenskoye's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zenit Penza than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saturn Ramenskoye than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Zenit Penza - Saturn Ramenskoye Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Maksimchuk A. ⚽,
23', Nikolaev D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
66', 1 - 1, Rodionov A. ⚽,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 12th and 4th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zenit Penza won 1.
Zenit Penza has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Saturn is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Zenit Penza may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Saturn has had a run of games away from home.
In this matchup, Saturn is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Zenit Penza has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:14 (averaging 1.6:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Zenit Penza against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 7:8 goals (averaging 1.4:1.6 per game).
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