Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 - Round 22

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Metallurg Lipetsk		Shumbrat Saransk

	1	X	2
	1.72	5.05	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.9)	5.05 ↑ (4.8)	3.33 ↑ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metallurg Lipetsk
53.8%

Draw
18.3%

Shumbrat Saransk
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

19.1%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

18.7%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metallurg Lipetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Metallurg Lipetsk's performance.

Shumbrat Saransk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Lipetsk than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shumbrat Saransk than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Metallurg Lipetsk - Shumbrat Saransk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Karpov K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 and 5).

Metallurg Lipetsk is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Shumbrat has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Metallurg Lipetsk is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Metallurg Lipetsk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Lipetsk	26	14	6	6	47:28	19	48
7	FK Shumbrat Saransk	26	13	5	8	46:35	11	44

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Metallurg Lipetsk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
29.08.26	Spartak Tambov - Metallurg Lipetsk	3:1 ✺
22.08.26	Metallurg Lipetsk - Avangard Kursk	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Volna Kovernino - Metallurg Lipetsk	3:2 ✺
Russian Cup
12.08.26	Murom - Metallurg Lipetsk	1:0 penalties ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
08.08.26	Metallurg Lipetsk - Ryazan	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LWLLT
- FK Shumbrat Saransk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
29.08.26	Shumbrat Saransk - Zenit Penza	1:3 ✺
23.08.26	Arsenal 2 Tula - Shumbrat Saransk	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Shumbrat Saransk - Strogino Moskva	1:1 ✺
Russian Cup
12.08.26	Shumbrat Saransk - 2DROTS Moscow	1:2 penalties ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
08.08.26	SKA Khabarovsk 2 - Shumbrat Saransk	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
16.05.26	Shumbrat Saransk - Metallurg Lipetsk	2:5

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