Match Info

Date: 15 May 2021, Saturday


	Metallurg Vidnoe		Avangard Kursk

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.75	1.67
	4.25	3.85	1.62
	3.55	3.75	1.72
	3.54	3.88	1.77
	3.98	3.88	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.9 ↑ (2.7)	3.82 ↑ (3.4)	1.7 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metallurg Vidnoe
23.2%

Draw
23.7%

Avangard Kursk
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

26.8%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.7%

19.7%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metallurg Vidnoe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Metallurg Vidnoe's form might have worsened.

Avangard Kursk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Avangard Kursk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metallurg Vidnoe than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avangard Kursk than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Metallurg Vidnoe - Avangard Kursk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Metallurg Vidnoe has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Avangard Kursk is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Avangard Kursk is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Metallurg Vidnoe won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metallurg Vidnoe
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
10.05.21	Sokol Saratov - Metallurg Vidnoe	5:0 ✺
03.05.21	Metallurg Vidnoe - Saturn Ramenskoye	1:1 ✺
29.04.21	Sakhalin - Metallurg Vidnoe	3:2 ✺
23.04.21	Metallurg Vidnoe - Salyut Belgorod	0:5 ✺
18.04.21	Krasnoye Znamya - Metallurg Vidnoe	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LTLLL
- Avangard Kursk
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
10.05.21	Sakhalin - Avangard Kursk	0:1 ✺
04.05.21	Khimki 2 - Avangard Kursk	1:1 ✺
29.04.21	Avangard Kursk - Kvant Obninsk	0:1 ✺
23.04.21	Avangard Kursk - Fakel Voronezh 2	0:0 ✺
18.04.21	Kaluga - Avangard Kursk	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WTLTL

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