Match Info

Date: 13 November 2021, Saturday


	Sakhalin		Avangard Kursk

	1	X	2
				Watch
	7.5	3.5	1.44
	8.5	3.7	1.38
	8	3.5	1.39
	8.98	3.55	1.39
	6.85	4.05	1.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.97 ↑ (3.22)	3.66 ↑ (3.04)	1.41 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sakhalin
11.3%

Draw
24.6%

Avangard Kursk
64%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

29.4%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21%

22.3%

56.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sakhalin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sakhalin's form might have worsened.

Avangard Kursk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Avangard Kursk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sakhalin than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sakhalin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avangard Kursk than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Avangard Kursk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sakhalin - Avangard Kursk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion).

Sakhalin has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Avangard Kursk is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sakhalin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Avangard Kursk is a favorite.

Recent matches Avangard Kursk is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Last 3 head-to-head matches Sakhalin won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Sakhalin won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Sakhalin
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
10.11.21	Sakhalin - Salyut Belgorod	0:1 ✺
06.11.21	Dynamo Vladivostok - Sakhalin	4:0 ✺
03.11.21	Sokol Saratov - Sakhalin	3:0 ✺
31.10.21	Zenit Penza - Sakhalin	3:0 ✺
21.10.21	Sakhalin - Kaluga	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Avangard Kursk
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
11.11.21	Dynamo Vladivostok - Avangard Kursk	1:1 ✺
31.10.21	Avangard Kursk - Salyut Belgorod	1:0 ✺
25.10.21	Avangard Kursk - Fakel Voronezh 2	1:1 ✺
19.10.21	Ryazan - Avangard Kursk	1:0 ✺
14.10.21	Avangard Kursk - Sokol Saratov	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Group 3
14.09.21	Avangard Kursk - Sakhalin	2:0
10.05.21	Sakhalin - Avangard Kursk	0:1
06.09.20	Avangard Kursk - Sakhalin	0:0

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