Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 8

Date: 29 September 2025, Monday

Location: Slavutych-Arena (Zaporizhia)


	Metalurh Zaporizhya		Inhulets

	1	X	2
	4.97	3.96	1.56	Watch
	4.96	3.95	1.55
	5.2	4	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.04 ↑ (5.01)	3.97 ↑ (3.92)	1.54 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metalurh Zaporizhya
18.1%

Draw
22.9%

Inhulets
59%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.1%

23.2%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.6%

22.6%

60.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Metalurh Zaporizhya have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Inhulets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metalurh Zaporizhya than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inhulets than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Metalurh Zaporizhya - Inhulets Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bayda N. (G) 18. Bliznichenko A. (C) 15. Chervinskyi D. 7. Irodovskyi D. 50. Kirichenko D. 27. Klymenko V. 25. Misanov M. 9. Nekhtiy V. 28. Rudavskyi M. 8. Savitskyi A. 17. Yurechko I.	1. Zhylkin A. (G) 21. Benediuk A. 4. Dubilei V. 3. Dykhtyaruk O. 7. Faraseyenko V. 9. Kyslenko S. 2. Malysh S. (C) 59. Mogylnyi B. 8. Pyatov O. 10. Sad V. 20. Volokhatyi R.
Substitutes
77. Bandurin A. 99. Bilyaev K. 19. Borysenko V. 3. Doroshenko D. 33. Klimov G. (G) 13. Machulyan T. 16. Parsnip N. 23. Slyusar D. 30. Tovkach A. 22. Tuzenko D. 10. Zelinskyi D.	55. Dzen M. 42. Gadzhuk I. 77. Kasimov D. 14. Melenchuk A. 91. Ryazantsev Y. 44. Serhiyovych Zhovtenko O. 87. Skorokhod M. 24. Slutskyi O. (G) 88. Svystun Vadymovych K. 69. Yanovich Y. 78. Yevtushenko O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Bliznichenko A. 🟨,
59', Savitskyi A. 🟨,
61', Chervinskyi D. 🟨,
61', Nekhtiy V. ↓, Zelinskyi D. ↑,
64', Mogylnyi B. ↓, Kasimov D. ↑,
66', Pyatov O. ↓, Gadzhuk I. ↑,
74', Kirichenko D. ↓, Bandurin A. ↑,
74', Misanov M. ↓, Parsnip N. ↑,
86', Zelinskyi D. 🟨,
87', Benediuk A. ↓, Serhiyovych Zhovtenko O. ↑,
90', Irodovskyi D. ↓, Bilyaev K. ↑,
90+1', 🟨,
90+5', Bayda N. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Druha Liga and 5).

Metalurh Z is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Inhulets is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Metalurh Z may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Metalurh Z has had a series of home games.

In this match, Inhulets is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metalurh Z won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 1.4:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Metalurh Z won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metalurh Zaporizhya
Ukrainian Persha Liga
25.09.25	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Metalist Kharkiv	1:3 ✺
21.09.25	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Feniks-Mariupol	1:1 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
18.09.25	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Feniks-Mariupol	1:2 penalties ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
13.09.25	Chornomorets Odesa - Metalurh Zaporizhya	3:0 ✺
07.09.25	Metalurh Zaporizhya - UCSA	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTLLL
- Inhulets Petrovo
Ukrainian Cup
24.09.25	Inhulets - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	4:1 ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
20.09.25	Inhulets - Chornomorets Odesa	2:3 ✺
14.09.25	UCSA - Inhulets	0:0 ✺
07.09.25	Inhulets - Vorskla Poltava	3:0 ✺
31.08.25	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Inhulets	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
05.11.23	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Inhulets	0:0
03.09.23	Inhulets - Metalurh Zaporizhya	3:2
Ukrainian Cup
02.08.23	Inhulets - Metalurh Zaporizhya	4:3
Ukrainian Persha Liga
16.11.19	Inhulets - Metalurh Zaporizhya	3:2
10.08.19	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Inhulets	0:2

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