Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 18

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Sport Complex Podillia (Khmelnytskyi)


	Podillya Khmelnytskyi		Metalurh Zaporizhya

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.9	6.7
	1.41	4.11	7.32	Watch
	1.44	3.98	6.54
	1.44	3.8	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.68)	3.95 ↑ (3.53)	6.77 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Podillya Khmelnytskyi
63.4%

Draw
23.1%

Metalurh Zaporizhya
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

25.7%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

24.9%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Podillya Khmelnytskyi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Podillya Khmelnytskyi's performance.

Metalurh Zaporizhya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Metalurh Zaporizhya might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Podillya Khmelnytskyi than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Podillya Khmelnytskyi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metalurh Zaporizhya than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Metalurh Zaporizhya could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Metalurh Zaporizhya Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Podillya will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Podillya (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Yurchuk V. (G) 18. Azizov D. 88. Baran R. 5. Lys N. 20. Nikolyshyn O. 21. Rudyuk V. 35. Savin A. 27. Serbinov D. 23. Shavrin V. (C) 19. Shkinder V. 77. Snizhko O.	1. Bayda N. (G) 77. Bandurin A. 19. Borysenko V. (C) 7. Irodovskyi D. 27. Klymenko V. 29. Lisnyak R. 25. Misanov M. 28. Rudavskyi M. 23. Slyusar D. 17. Yurechko I. 10. Zelinskyi D.
Substitutes
8. Falkovskyi D. 9. Gemega V. 99. Kondratyuk J. (G) 17. Kozyrenko Y. 10. Kulish M. 7. Kvasov Y. 98. Ponomarenko I. (G) 13. Profatilo Y. 2. Savchuk P. 6. Serafimov O. 11. Sitalo A.	15. Chervinskyi D. 20. Dziubko Y. 76. Mokrytskyi V. (G) 9. Nekhtiy V. 16. Pasternak N. 8. Savitskyi A. 90. Zaichenko Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Shavrin V. ⚽,
40', 2 - 0, Azizov D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 3 - 0, Nikolyshyn O. ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Druha Liga and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Druha Liga).

Podillya has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Metalurh Z is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Podillya is seen as the favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Podillya won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Podillya won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 2.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Podillya Khmelnytskyi
Ukrainian Persha Liga
22.11.25	Chornomorets Odesa - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	4:1 ✺
15.11.25	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - UCSA	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Vorskla Poltava	1:1 ✺
04.11.25	Feniks-Mariupol - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	0:1 ✺
24.10.25	Nyva Ternopil - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.4 LLTWW
- Metalurh Zaporizhya
Ukrainian Persha Liga
15.11.25	Metalist Kharkiv - Metalurh Zaporizhya	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Metalurh Zaporizhya	3:0 ✺
01.11.25	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	0:5 ✺
19.10.25	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk	0:3 ✺
14.10.25	Viktoriya Sumy - Metalurh Zaporizhya	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
16.08.25	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	1:1
02.05.25	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Metalurh Zaporizhya	2:3
30.03.25	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	1:2
19.05.24	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	1:0
13.04.24	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Metalurh Zaporizhya	3:1

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