Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 16

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday

Location: OSC Metalist (Kharkiv)


	Metalist Kharkiv		Metalurh Zaporizhya

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.25	7.9
	1.36	4.50	7.71	Watch
	1.34	4.4	7.75
	1.37	4.2	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.37)	4.34 ↓ (4.38)	7.74 ↓ (8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Metalist Kharkiv
67.1%

Draw
21.1%

Metalurh Zaporizhya
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

21%

11.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

14.2%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metalist Kharkiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Metalurh Zaporizhya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metalist Kharkiv than the current prediction. (-21.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Metalist Kharkiv that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metalurh Zaporizhya than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Metalurh Zaporizhya could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Metalist Kharkiv - Metalurh Zaporizhya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Rybak V. (C) 27. Isaenko Y. 19. Kaydalov D. 7. Lutsiv P. 9. Lutsiv V. 2. Mizyuk O. 5. Pidruchnyi D. 31. Porokh B. 6. Teplyakov D. 11. Tsvirenko O. 20. Vernattus D.	1. Bayda N. (G) 77. Bandurin A. 18. Bliznichenko A. (C) 19. Borysenko V. 15. Chervinskyi D. 7. Irodovskyi D. 27. Klymenko V. 28. Rudavskyi M. 8. Savitskyi A. 17. Yurechko I. 10. Zelinskyi D.
Substitutes
24. Fedoriv V. 21. Goryainov O. 39. Gryshchenko I. 98. Orikhovskyi M. 38. Palyanychka K. 35. Pletnyov P. (G) 17. Prykhodko D. 32. Shakhmayev M. 30. Shapovalov I. 41. Smatko A. (G)	99. Bilyaev K. 20. Dziubko Y. 29. Lisnyak R. 25. Misanov M. 76. Mokrytskyi V. (G) 23. Slyusar D. 90. Zaichenko Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', Savitskyi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Tsvirenko O. ↓, Prykhodko D. ↑,
51', Prykhodko D. 🟨,
57', 1 - 0, Isaenko Y. ⚽,
69', Zelinskyi D. ↓, Slyusar D. ↑,
71', Rudavskyi M. ↓, Lisnyak R. ↑,
75', Lutsiv V. ↓, Goryainov O. ↑,
76', Mizyuk O. ↓, Fedoriv V. ↑,
79', Pidruchnyi D. 🟨,
79', Bliznichenko A. 🟨,
85', Isaenko Y. ↓, Palyanychka K. ↑,
90+2', Kaydalov D. ↓, Orikhovskyi M. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Druha Liga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metalist won 3.

In recent matches, Metalist has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Metalurh Z is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Metalist is the clear favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Metalist won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 22:7. (average 2.2:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Metalist won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 2.5:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metalist Kharkiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
08.11.25	Metalist Kharkiv - Chornomorets Odesa	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	UCSA - Metalist Kharkiv	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Metalist Kharkiv - Vorskla Poltava	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Metalist Kharkiv	0:2 ✺
13.10.25	Metalist Kharkiv - Nyva Ternopil	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TLTWL
- Metalurh Zaporizhya
Ukrainian Persha Liga
08.11.25	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Metalurh Zaporizhya	3:0 ✺
01.11.25	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	0:5 ✺
19.10.25	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk	0:3 ✺
14.10.25	Viktoriya Sumy - Metalurh Zaporizhya	3:0 ✺
08.10.25	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Probiy Horodenka	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
25.09.25	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Metalist Kharkiv	1:3
03.05.24	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Metalist Kharkiv	0:3
31.03.24	Metalist Kharkiv - Metalurh Zaporizhya	4:1
Ukrainian Premier League
19.09.15	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Metalist Kharkiv	0:0
26.04.15	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Metalist Kharkiv	0:0
05.10.14	Metalist Kharkiv - Metalurh Zaporizhya	2:1
20.04.14	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Metalist Kharkiv	0:3

Upcoming Matches