Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 40

Date: 10 April 2023, Monday


	Metropolitan Police		Harrow Borough

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.9	4.33
	1.57	3.75	4.2
	1.61	4.4	4.53
	1.58	4.05	4.85
	1.6	4	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.6)	4.02 ↓ (4.4)	4.48 ↓ (4.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metropolitan Police
57.2%

Draw
22.6%

Harrow Borough
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

21.2%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

21.3%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metropolitan Police has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Harrow Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metropolitan Police than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harrow Borough than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Metropolitan Police - Harrow Borough Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 8 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Metropolitan Police won 3.

Recent matches Metropolitan Police is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Harrow has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Harrow could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Harrow have a series of home games.

In this match Metropolitan Police is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Metropolitan Police won 11 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 34-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Metropolitan Police won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metropolitan Police
English Southern League South Division
08.04.23	Yate Town - Metropolitan Police	2:1 ✺
06.04.23	Bracknell Town - Metropolitan Police	3:2 ✺
25.03.23	Metropolitan Police - Chesham United	1:0 ✺
21.03.23	Metropolitan Police - Swindon Supermarine	1:0 ✺
18.03.23	Weston-super-Mare - Metropolitan Police	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LLWWT
- Harrow Borough
English Southern League South Division
07.04.23	Harrow Borough - Truro City	1:4 ✺
04.04.23	Hartley Wintney - Harrow Borough	1:0 ✺
28.03.23	Harrow Borough - Dorchester Town	1:2 ✺
25.03.23	Harrow Borough - Gosport Borough	0:2 ✺
21.03.23	Harrow Borough - Bracknell Town	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
26.12.22	Harrow Borough - Metropolitan Police	0:2
02.04.22	Metropolitan Police - Harrow Borough	1:1
16.11.21	Harrow Borough - Metropolitan Police	1:4
29.09.20	Metropolitan Police - Harrow Borough	5:2
07.03.20	Metropolitan Police - Harrow Borough	1:3
22.10.19	Harrow Borough - Metropolitan Police	1:2
08.01.19	Metropolitan Police - Harrow Borough	1:0

Metropolitan Police - Harrow Borough: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide