Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 39

Date: 8 April 2023, Saturday


	Yate Town		Metropolitan Police

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.75	1.87
	2.81	4.21	2.09
	3.15	3.65	2.02
	3.25	3.6	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↓ (6.2)	3.8 ↓ (4.74)	1.98 ↑ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yate Town
29.7%

Draw
24.1%

Metropolitan Police
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.6%

19.1%

66.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.5%

18.9%

66.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yate Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yate Town's performance.

Metropolitan Police has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Metropolitan Police might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yate Town than the current prediction. (-15.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yate Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metropolitan Police than the current prediction. (+20.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Metropolitan Police could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Yate Town - Metropolitan Police Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Yate won 1.

Yate has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Metropolitan Police is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Yate could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Metropolitan Police is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Metropolitan Police to win the game is with odds 1.67.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Yate won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Yate won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yate Town
English Southern League South Division
01.04.23	Chesham United - Yate Town	5:1 ✺
25.03.23	Yate Town - Bracknell Town	0:2 ✺
18.03.23	Beaconsfield Town - Yate Town	3:2 ✺
11.03.23	Yate Town - North Leigh	1:3 ✺
04.03.23	Yate Town - Hartley Wintney	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Metropolitan Police
English Southern League South Division
06.04.23	Bracknell Town - Metropolitan Police	3:2 ✺
25.03.23	Metropolitan Police - Chesham United	1:0 ✺
21.03.23	Metropolitan Police - Swindon Supermarine	1:0 ✺
18.03.23	Weston-super-Mare - Metropolitan Police	1:1 ✺
14.03.23	Plymouth Parkway - Metropolitan Police	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
03.12.22	Metropolitan Police - Yate Town	0:1
26.02.22	Yate Town - Metropolitan Police	0:4
27.11.21	Metropolitan Police - Yate Town	1:0
19.09.20	Metropolitan Police - Yate Town	1:1
22.02.20	Metropolitan Police - Yate Town	2:0
12.10.19	Yate Town - Metropolitan Police	1:0

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