Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 39

Date: 7 April 2023, Friday


	Harrow Borough		Truro City

	1	X	2
	4.5	4.33	1.51
	5.31	4.21	1.54
	5.2	4.25	1.52
	5	4.75	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	5 ↓ (6.2)	4.39 ↓ (5)	1.51 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Harrow Borough
18.3%

Draw
20.9%

Truro City
60.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.6%

18.1%

67.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.3%

17.8%

68.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harrow Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Truro City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Truro City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harrow Borough than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Truro City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Harrow Borough - Truro City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League South Division (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Harrow won 1.

Harrow has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Truro is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Truro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Truro is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Truro to win the game is with odds 1.51.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Harrow won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Harrow won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harrow Borough
English Southern League South Division
04.04.23	Hartley Wintney - Harrow Borough	1:0 ✺
28.03.23	Harrow Borough - Dorchester Town	1:2 ✺
25.03.23	Harrow Borough - Gosport Borough	0:2 ✺
21.03.23	Harrow Borough - Bracknell Town	0:4 ✺
18.03.23	Plymouth Parkway - Harrow Borough	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Truro City
English Southern League South Division
01.04.23	Beaconsfield Town - Truro City	3:2 ✺
18.03.23	Bracknell Town - Truro City	0:3 ✺
11.03.23	Merthyr Town - Truro City	2:1 ✺
04.03.23	Truro City - Hayes & Yeading United	1:0 ✺
28.02.23	Truro City - Chesham United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
03.12.22	Truro City - Harrow Borough	2:1
29.01.22	Harrow Borough - Truro City	6:3
09.10.21	Truro City - Harrow Borough	2:1
19.09.20	Truro City - Harrow Borough	1:0
22.02.20	Truro City - Harrow Borough	4:1
12.10.19	Harrow Borough - Truro City	1:2

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