Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 35

Date: 4 March 2023, Saturday


	Metropolitan Police		Salisbury

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.75	4.01
	1.75	3.74	4.05
	1.75	3.75	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.82)	3.75 ↓ (4)	3.94 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metropolitan Police
52.2%

Draw
24.5%

Salisbury
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

22.7%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

21.8%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metropolitan Police has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Salisbury has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metropolitan Police than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salisbury than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Metropolitan Police - Salisbury Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 8 and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Metropolitan Police won 4.

Recent matches Metropolitan Police is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Salisbury is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Metropolitan Police could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Salisbury have a series of home games.

Metropolitan Police will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Metropolitan Police won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 19-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Metropolitan Police won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metropolitan Police
English Southern League South Division
25.02.23	Gosport Borough - Metropolitan Police	0:2 ✺
21.02.23	Metropolitan Police - Weston-super-Mare	0:0 ✺
18.02.23	Metropolitan Police - Merthyr Town	0:2 ✺
11.02.23	Metropolitan Police - Tiverton Town	4:1 ✺
07.02.23	Hayes & Yeading United - Metropolitan Police	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WTLWL
- Salisbury FC
English Southern League South Division
25.02.23	Salisbury - Tiverton Town	0:1 ✺
18.02.23	Hanwell Town - Salisbury	0:3 ✺
14.02.23	Salisbury - Harrow Borough	0:0 ✺
04.02.23	Salisbury - Plymouth Parkway	0:1 ✺
31.01.23	Salisbury - Gosport Borough	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
22.10.22	Salisbury - Metropolitan Police	1:4
15.01.22	Salisbury - Metropolitan Police	1:3
14.08.21	Metropolitan Police - Salisbury	0:0
08.02.20	Metropolitan Police - Salisbury	3:2
14.09.19	Salisbury - Metropolitan Police	1:3
01.05.19	Metropolitan Police - Salisbury	3:2
16.02.19	Metropolitan Police - Salisbury	2:2

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