Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 26

Date: 6 January 2024, Saturday


	Salisbury		Tiverton Town

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.1	4.5
	1.52	4.2	5
	1.54	4.51	4.72
	1.55	4.52	4.72
	1.57	4	4
	1.53	4.15	5.06
	1.52	4.2	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.64)	4.24 ↑ (3.88)	4.71 ↑ (4.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salisbury
59.2%

Draw
21.5%

Tiverton Town
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

23.6%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

23.8%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salisbury has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Tiverton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salisbury than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tiverton Town than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League South Division (Play Offs: ) and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Salisbury won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Salisbury could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Salisbury is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Salisbury won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Salisbury won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salisbury FC
English Southern League South Division
30.12.23	Basingstoke Town - Salisbury	0:0 ✺
26.12.23	Salisbury - Winchester City	2:2 ✺
23.12.23	Hungerford Town - Salisbury	1:0 ✺
16.12.23	Salisbury - Hendon	2:1 ✺
09.12.23	Walton & Hersham - Salisbury	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TTLWL
- Tiverton Town
English Southern League South Division
26.12.23	Plymouth Parkway - Tiverton Town	1:1 ✺
23.12.23	Tiverton Town - Beaconsfield Town	2:2 ✺
16.12.23	Didcot Town - Tiverton Town	0:0 ✺
09.12.23	Tiverton Town - Bracknell Town	2:1 ✺
05.12.23	Chesham United - Tiverton Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
13.09.23	Tiverton Town - Salisbury	1:3
25.02.23	Salisbury - Tiverton Town	0:1
12.10.22	Tiverton Town - Salisbury	2:4
08.03.22	Salisbury - Tiverton Town	0:3
15.09.21	Tiverton Town - Salisbury	1:2
01.02.20	Salisbury - Tiverton Town	2:2
31.08.19	Tiverton Town - Salisbury	3:3

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