Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 33

Date: 18 February 2023, Saturday


	Metropolitan Police		Merthyr Town

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.4	3.2
	2.01	3.47	3.5
	1.95	3.58	3.4
	1.95	3.6	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.02)	3.51 ↓ (3.6)	3.34 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metropolitan Police
46.6%

Draw
26%

Merthyr Town
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

25.3%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

25.1%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metropolitan Police has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Merthyr Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metropolitan Police than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Metropolitan Police - Merthyr Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Metropolitan Police won 3.

Metropolitan Police is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Merthyr is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Metropolitan Police could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Metropolitan Police will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Metropolitan Police won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Metropolitan Police won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metropolitan Police
English Southern League South Division
11.02.23	Metropolitan Police - Tiverton Town	4:1 ✺
07.02.23	Hayes & Yeading United - Metropolitan Police	3:2 ✺
04.02.23	Hartley Wintney - Metropolitan Police	1:1 ✺
28.01.23	Metropolitan Police - Hanwell Town	2:0 ✺
14.01.23	Metropolitan Police - Plymouth Parkway	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLTWW
- Merthyr Town
English Southern League South Division
14.02.23	Bracknell Town - Merthyr Town	1:0 ✺
11.02.23	Merthyr Town - Chesham United	0:1 ✺
07.02.23	Merthyr Town - Plymouth Parkway	0:1 ✺
04.02.23	Winchester City - Merthyr Town	2:2 ✺
28.01.23	Merthyr Town - Salisbury	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
29.10.22	Merthyr Town - Metropolitan Police	1:2
22.01.22	Merthyr Town - Metropolitan Police	2:3
16.10.21	Metropolitan Police - Merthyr Town	1:2
01.02.20	Merthyr Town - Metropolitan Police	1:2
31.08.19	Metropolitan Police - Merthyr Town	1:2
30.03.19	Metropolitan Police - Merthyr Town	2:0
15.09.18	Merthyr Town - Metropolitan Police	2:2

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