Match Info

Catarinense 2 - Round 18

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday


	Metropolitano		Fluminense-SC

	1	X	2
	1.29	4.50	9.00
	1.32	4.35	8.1
	1.29	4.66	8.1
	1.28	4.73	10.17	Watch
	1.28	4.6	8
	1.3	4.75	8.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.52)	4.6 ↑ (3.4)	8.64 ↑ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metropolitano
69.9%

Draw
19.7%

Fluminense-SC
10.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

26%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

24%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metropolitano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Metropolitano's performance.

Fluminense-SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fluminense-SC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metropolitano than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Metropolitano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense-SC than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Metropolitano - Fluminense SC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

(3 - 0)

Preview

Metropolitano is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Fluminense-SC's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Metropolitano is the obvious favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Metropolitano won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 2.3:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Metropolitano won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Standings

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Metropolitano	18	12	2	4	36:18	18	38
8	Fluminense-SC	18	6	3	9	16:25	-9	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Clube Atlético Metropolitano
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense 2
22.07.26	Grêmio Juventus - Metropolitano	0:2 ✺
18.07.26	Metropolitano - Jaraguá do Sul	6:1 ✺
15.07.26	Blumenau - Metropolitano	4:1 ✺
12.07.26	Atlético Tubarão - Metropolitano	2:3 ✺
05.07.26	Metropolitano - Caravaggio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWLWW
- Fluminense-SC
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense 2
22.07.26	Fluminense-SC - Atlético Tubarão	2:0 ✺
19.07.26	Grêmio Juventus - Fluminense-SC	3:0 ✺
15.07.26	Fluminense-SC - Guarani de Palhoça	1:1 ✺
12.07.26	Nação - Fluminense-SC	1:2 ✺
04.07.26	Fluminense-SC - Blumenau	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense 2
10.06.26	Fluminense-SC - Metropolitano	1:3
06.07.25	Metropolitano - Fluminense-SC	1:0

Metropolitano - Fluminense-SC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide