Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 2

Date: 11 April 2024, Thursday

Location: Estadio Olimpico de la UCV (Caracas)

Referee: Cajas A. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV


	Metropolitanos		Cuiabá

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.5	1.83	Watch
	4.2	3.4	1.85
	4	3.4	1.9	Watch
	4.33	3.47	1.93
	4.33	3.47	1.88
	4	3.4	1.8	Watch
	4.18	3.44	1.87	Watch
	4.1	3.4	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.18 ↑ (3.43)	3.44 ↑ (3.33)	1.87 ↓ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Metropolitanos
22.4%

Draw
27.3%

Cuiabá
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.9%

27.8%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

27.3%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metropolitanos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Cuiabá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metropolitanos than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	18.2%	72.7%

Metropolitanos - Cuiabá Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Metropolitanos will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Cuiabá will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cuiabá: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Villete A. (G) 2. Pabon Delgao S. J. 77. De La Hoz K. 14. Fuentes J. 70. Flores Barrios R. D. 10. Araujo W. 15. Zalzman D. 17. Valderrey E. 11. Marchan J. 35. Bareiro Munoz F. V. 21. Ortiz C.	1. Walter (C) 21. Railan 4. Marllon 3. Allyson 33. Alan Empereur 20. Rikelme 22. Derik Lacerda 88. Fernando Sobral 30. Lucas Mineiro 25. Clayson 16. Deyverson
Substitutes
9. Bustillo M. 7. Garces R. 6. Graterol A. 4. Jhon Chancellor 24. Lozada Y. 13. Lucena A. 40. Martinez J. 31. Perez L. 1. Rojas T. (G) 8. Ruiz E. 30. Villero M. 28. Zorrilla E.	34. Bruno Alves 11. Eliel 5. Filipe Augusto 19. Gimenez L. 8. Guilherme Madruga 7. Jonathan Cafu 18. Lucas Fernandes 97. Luiz Felipe 14. Mateus Pasinato (G) 2. Matheus Alexandre 10. Max 9. Pitta I.
Coaches
Morr J.	Iubel L. F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Deyverson ⚽, Fernando Sobral (A),
43', 0 - 2, Deyverson (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Derik Lacerda ↓, Jonathan Cafu ↑,
63', Marchan J. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
64', Valderrey E. ↓, Graterol A. ↑,
70', Fernando Sobral ↓, Guilherme Madruga ↑,
70', Clayson ↓, Luiz Felipe ↑,
74', Zalzman D. ↓, Bustillo M. ↑,
76', Lucas Mineiro ↓, Filipe Augusto ↑,
76', Deyverson ↓, Pitta I. ↑,
83', Pabon Delgao S. J. ↓, Jhon Chancellor ↑,
83', Araujo W. ↓, Lucena A. ↑,

Preview

Metropolitanos is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cuiabá is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Metropolitanos could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Cuiabá have a series of home games.

In this match Cuiabá is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metropolitanos FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
07.04.24	Metropolitanos - Caracas	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
04.04.24	Deportivo Garcilaso - Metropolitanos	3:2 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
28.03.24	Deportivo Táchira - Metropolitanos	2:0 ✺
23.03.24	Metropolitanos - Rayo Zuliano	1:0 ✺
19.03.24	Portuguesa Acarígua - Metropolitanos	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TLLWL
- Cuiabá EC
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
06.04.24	União Rondonópolis - Cuiabá	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
03.04.24	Cuiabá - Lanús	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
30.03.24	Cuiabá - União Rondonópolis	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Verde
27.03.24	Cuiabá - Brasiliense	4:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
24.03.24	Cuiabá - Luverdense	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTWWW

Upcoming Matches