The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Metropolitanos 42.1%
Draw 29.4%
Caracas 28.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.1%
29.6%
26.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.7%
28.6%
25.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Metropolitanos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
Caracas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metropolitanos than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
40%
0%
Metropolitanos - Caracas Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Metropolitanos will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Yustiz Y. (G) 3. Rivillo D. 4. Ferro A. 2. Manenti F. 19. Ramirez I. 15. Zalzman D. 8. Ayine G. 88. Figueroa R. 7. Miku (C) 11. Ramirez S. 9. Ortiz K.
1. Benitez F. (G) 2. Fereira Penaranda E. E. 4. Quintero J. 14. La Mantia F. (C) 13. Yendis J. 8. Gudino I. 15. Larotonda C. 39. Villarreal A. 33. Correa W. 7. Robert Hernandez 10. Covea M.
Substitutes
29. Alcocer B. 99. Bianciotti A. 32. Camarillo C. 21. Garces R. 24. Jaimes A. 22. Lara J. (G) 30. Navarro J. 10. Ramirez J. 16. Riasco J. 5. Sangiovani R. 17. Valderrey E. 18. Vargas J.
38. Barrios E. 22. Figueroa A. 31. Garcia P. 27. Gonzalez S. 35. Lezama R. 41. Lopez A. 20. Maestre Nino L. A. 11. Marquez M. 34. Martinez Aponte C. A. 17. Reinoso L. 6. Vaquer N. 12. Vegas J. (G)
Coaches
Stifano F.
Sanvicente N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Figueroa R. ⚽, Rivillo D. (A),
37', Larotonda C. 🟨,
45', Ramirez I. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Larotonda C. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
59', 2 - 0, Ortiz K. ⚽, Ayine G. (A),
64', Covea M. ↓, Martinez Aponte C. A. ↑,
66', Zalzman D. ↓, Sangiovani R. ↑,
73', Ramirez S. ↓, Navarro J. ↑,
75', Correa W. ↓, Maestre Nino L. A. ↑,
75', Fereira Penaranda E. E. ↓, Barrios E. ↑,
81', Robert Hernandez ↓, Figueroa A. ↑,
85', Ortiz K. ↓, Ramirez J. ↑,
85', Figueroa R. ↓, Garces R. ↑,
87', Navarro J. 🟨,
88', 3 - 0, Navarro J. ⚽, Sangiovani R. (A),
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metropolitanos won 0.
Metropolitanos is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Caracas has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Caracas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Metropolitanos is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Metropolitanos won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 23:30. (average 1.2:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Metropolitanos won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.7:1.7).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Metropolitanos
11
9
1
1
24:9
15
28
10
Caracas
11
2
5
4
9:14
-5
11
Last Results with these Odds
Metropolitanos - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 44.1%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.