Match Info

VENEZUELA: LIGA FUTVE - ROUND 12

Date: 28 April 2023, Friday

Location: Estadio Olimpico de la UCV (Caracas)


	Metropolitanos		Mineros de Guayana

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.78	3.25	3.9
	1.7	3.2	4.25
	1.76	3.19	4.36
	1.8	3.1	4.5
	1.8	3.3	4.65	Watch
	1.82	3.4	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.65)	3.24 ↓ (3.63)	4.29 ↓ (4.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metropolitanos
51%

Draw
27.9%

Mineros de Guayana
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

25.3%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

18.1%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metropolitanos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Mineros de Guayana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metropolitanos than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Metropolitanos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mineros de Guayana than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mineros de Guayana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Metropolitanos - Mineros de Guayana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Metropolitanos won 3.

Recent matches Metropolitanos is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mineros is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Mineros could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Metropolitanos is a favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Metropolitanos won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 26-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Metropolitanos won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 21-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metropolitanos FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
23.04.23	Angostura - Metropolitanos	3:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
18.04.23	Internacional RS - Metropolitanos	1:0 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
14.04.23	Estudiantes de Mérida - Metropolitanos	0:2 ✺
08.04.23	Metropolitanos - Carabobo	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
04.04.23	Metropolitanos - Nacional Montevideo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLWWL
- Mineros de Guayana
Venezuelan Primera Division
22.04.23	Mineros de Guayana - Carabobo	0:1 ✺
16.04.23	Caracas - Mineros de Guayana	1:1 ✺
08.04.23	Mineros de Guayana - Deportivo La Guaira	0:2 ✺
17.03.23	Mineros de Guayana - Academia Puerto Cabello	0:3 ✺
11.03.23	Zamora - Mineros de Guayana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
06.08.22	Mineros de Guayana - Metropolitanos	2:2
17.04.22	Metropolitanos - Mineros de Guayana	5:0
19.08.21	Metropolitanos - Mineros de Guayana	3:0
02.07.21	Mineros de Guayana - Metropolitanos	1:0
16.05.21	Metropolitanos - Mineros de Guayana	3:0
08.03.20	Metropolitanos - Mineros de Guayana	3:0
05.10.19	Metropolitanos - Mineros de Guayana	2:1

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