The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Metropolitanos 29.1%
Draw 30.2%
Carabobo 40.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.4%
30.5%
36.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.1%
31.1%
35.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Metropolitanos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
Carabobo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metropolitanos than the current prediction. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carabobo than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carabobo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.3%
71.4%
14.3%
Metropolitanos - Carabobo Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Metropolitanos will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Carabobo will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - under (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Yustiz Y. (G) 2. Manenti F. 4. Ferro A. 6. Caricote Y. 19. Ramirez I. 5. Sangiovani R. 15. Zalzman D. 88. Figueroa R. 7. Miku (C) 11. Ramirez S. 9. Ortiz K.
22. Bruera L. (C) 21. Gonzalez A. 32. Neira E. 4. Aponte L. 8. Perez J. 26. Nunez M. 15. Cova M. 14. Berios J. 10. Orozco Y. 7. Tortolero E. 19. Martinez L.
Substitutes
20. Acosta R. 99. Bianciotti A. 23. Diaz M. 21. Garces R. 13. Gimenez J. 24. Jaimes A. 22. Lara J. (G) 30. Navarro J. 40. Nieves A. 14. Perez L. 10. Ramirez J. 17. Valderrey E.
6. Bahachille A. 28. Bilbao J. 5. Castillo E. 13. Duran J. 3. Fuentes J. 2. Guaramato M. 16. Lopez F. 30. Mendoza S. 23. Meza D. 17. Oliveros F. 12. Roa K. (G)
Coaches
Stifano F.
Farias D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Miku 🟨,
25', Aponte L. 🟨,
29', Orozco Y. 🟨,
32', Manenti F. 🟨,
45+4', Farias D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 5)
46', 0 - 1, Martinez L. ⚽, Gonzalez A. (A),
53', Zalzman D. 🟨,
54', Ramirez I. 🟨,
55', 0 - 2, Martinez L. ⚽,
58', 0 - 3, Martinez L. ⚽, Orozco Y. (A),
59', Zalzman D. ↓, Navarro J. ↑,
59', Ramirez S. ↓, Ramirez J. ↑,
62', Orozco Y. ↓, Mendoza S. ↑,
68', Manenti F. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
69', 1 - 3, Miku (Penalty Awarded),
76', Berios J. 🟨,
77', Ortiz K. ↓, Bianciotti A. ↑,
79', Nunez M. ↓, Castillo E. ↑,
79', Berios J. ↓, Meza D. ↑,
86', 1 - 4, Martinez L. ⚽, Castillo E. (A),
89', 1 - 5, Tortolero E. ⚽,
90', Tortolero E. 🟨,
90+1', Gonzalez A. ↓, Bahachille A. ↑,
90+1', Tortolero E. ↓, Guaramato M. ↑,
90+2', Neira E. 🟨,
90+3', Bruera L. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metropolitanos won 0.
Metropolitanos has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Carabobo is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Metropolitanos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Metropolitanos won 5 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:24. (average 1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Metropolitanos won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.1:1.1).
Watch
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Yustiz Y. (G) 
Manenti F. 
Ortiz K. 
Berios J. 
Bilbao J. 
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