Match Info

VENEZUELA: LIGA FUTVE - ROUND 11

Date: 22 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Cachamay (Ciudad Guayana)

Referee: Soto J. (Ven)


	Mineros de Guayana		Carabobo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.7	3.1	1.87
	3.92	3.02	1.78
	3.75	3	2
	4.3	3.24	1.88	Watch
	3.75	3.3	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.88 ↑ (2.68)	3.13 ↑ (3.1)	1.88 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mineros de Guayana
23.2%

Draw
28.8%

Carabobo
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

29.3%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

28.2%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mineros de Guayana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mineros de Guayana's form might have worsened.

Carabobo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carabobo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mineros de Guayana than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mineros de Guayana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carabobo than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carabobo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Mineros de Guayana - Carabobo Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Carabobo will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Carabobo: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mineros won 1.

Recent matches Mineros is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Carabobo is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Carabobo is a favorite.

Last 25 head-to-head matches Mineros won 10 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 33-36.

Including matches at home between the teams Mineros won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 24-16.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mineros de Guayana
Venezuelan Primera Division
16.04.23	Caracas - Mineros de Guayana	1:1 ✺
08.04.23	Mineros de Guayana - Deportivo La Guaira	0:2 ✺
17.03.23	Mineros de Guayana - Academia Puerto Cabello	0:3 ✺
11.03.23	Zamora - Mineros de Guayana	1:1 ✺
03.03.23	Mineros de Guayana - Universidad Central	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TLLTW
- Carabobo FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
15.04.23	Carabobo - Rayo Zuliano	0:0 ✺
08.04.23	Metropolitanos - Carabobo	1:0 ✺
31.03.23	Carabobo - Monagas	3:0 ✺
17.03.23	Hermanos Colmenares - Carabobo	2:1 ✺
12.03.23	Carabobo - Academia Puerto Cabello	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
04.09.22	Mineros de Guayana - Carabobo	2:3
17.03.22	Carabobo - Mineros de Guayana	3:1
18.11.20	Mineros de Guayana - Carabobo	4:2
17.10.20	Carabobo - Mineros de Guayana	2:2
10.02.20	Mineros de Guayana - Carabobo	0:1
03.11.19	Mineros de Guayana - Carabobo	1:0
11.05.19	Carabobo - Mineros de Guayana	1:1

Upcoming Matches