Match Info

Liga FUTVE - Apertura - Round 11

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Olimpico de la UCV (Caracas)


	Metropolitanos		Universidad Central

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	2.9	2.7
	2.65	3	2.7
	2.74	3.05	2.69	Watch
	2.6	2.9	2.88
	2.7	3.08	2.67	Watch
	2.65	3	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.42)	2.99 ↓ (3)	2.72 ↓ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metropolitanos
35.1%

Draw
30.9%

Universidad Central
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

30.6%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

31.1%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metropolitanos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Universidad Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metropolitanos than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Central than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	80%	20%

Metropolitanos - Universidad Central Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Universidad Central will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Aspajo S. (G) 6. Caricote Y. 4. Ferro A. 27. Zapata E. 17. Valderrey E. 88. Figueroa R. 31. Verde E. 29. Martinez N. 26. Ramirez J. 9. Cifuentes F. 19. Paraco C.	1. Silva M. (G) 28. Ruiz M. 4. Velasquez W. 19. Simarra A. 24. Cumana Y. 8. Zapata J. 14. Mendoza K. 47. Granko A. 10. Sosa Samuel 7. Cuesta J. 20. Gomez J.
Substitutes
23. Diaz C. 5. Funes F. 15. Gustavo Candido 22. Lara J. (G) 3. Linarez D. 24. Lozada Y. 30. Navarro S. 40. Nieves A. 14. Perez L. 70. Rodriguez A. 77. Rodriguez A. 18. Valencia J.	27. Carrillo D. 16. De Sousa D. 12. Gonzalez C. (G) 17. Magallan C. 5. Martinez A. 29. Matamoros B. 44. Melendez G. 11. Murillo Y. 21. Ortiz C. 25. Polo Jean 2. Silva K.
Coaches
Marcenaro R.	Sasso D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', Verde E. 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Sosa Samuel ⚽, Zapata J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Cumana Y. 🟨,
56', Sosa Samuel 🟨,
58', Silva M. 🟨,
59', Cifuentes F. 🟨,
61', Granko A. ↓, Murillo Y. ↑,
61', Cumana Y. ↓, Carrillo D. ↑,
62', Verde E. ↓, Funes F. ↑,
66', Ruiz M. 🟨,
75', Cuesta J. ↓, Matamoros B. ↑,
75', Sosa Samuel ↓, De Sousa D. ↑,
77', Caricote Y. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
77', Paraco C. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
83', Cifuentes F. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
83', Martinez N. ↓, Navarro S. ↑,
86', Zapata J. ↓, Melendez G. ↑,
90+2', Mendoza K. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Metropolitanos won 1.

Recent matches Metropolitanos is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Universidad Central is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Universidad Central could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Metropolitanos won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18:15 (average 1.5:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Metropolitanos won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12:6 (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metropolitanos FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
05.04.25	Estudiantes de Mérida - Metropolitanos	1:2 ✺
30.03.25	Metropolitanos - Monagas	2:2 ✺
16.03.25	Deportivo Táchira - Metropolitanos	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Metropolitanos - Zamora	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
05.03.25	Academia Puerto Cabello - Metropolitanos	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WTTTL
- Universidad Central de Venezuela FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
04.04.25	Universidad Central - Monagas	0:0 ✺
29.03.25	Zamora - Universidad Central	0:1 ✺
15.03.25	Universidad Central - Carabobo	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Yaracuyanos - Universidad Central	0:2 ✺
01.03.25	Universidad Central - Academia Puerto Cabello	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
24.07.24	Metropolitanos - Universidad Central	0:0
18.05.24	Metropolitanos - Universidad Central	5:2
30.04.24	Universidad Central - Metropolitanos	0:0
12.02.24	Universidad Central - Metropolitanos	3:0
07.10.23	Universidad Central - Metropolitanos	3:2
05.02.23	Metropolitanos - Universidad Central	1:1
14.09.22	Universidad Central - Metropolitanos	2:3

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