Match Info

MEXICO: LIGA PREMIER SERIE A - ROUND 29

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday


	Mexicali		Tritones Vallarta

	1	X	2
	4.4	3.4	1.68
	4.33	3.5	1.72
	4.55	3.58	1.7
	4.56	3.58	1.7
	4.61	3.74	1.64
	4.33	3.5	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.46 ↑ (3.04)	3.55 ↑ (3.08)	1.69 ↓ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mexicali
20.4%

Draw
25.7%

Tritones Vallarta
53.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

29.6%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

28.5%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mexicali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mexicali's form might have worsened.

Tritones Vallarta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tritones Vallarta's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mexicali than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mexicali, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tritones Vallarta than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tritones Vallarta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mexicali - Tritones Vallarta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, ⚽,
17', 1 - 1, ⚽,
37', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 and 14).

Recent matches Mexicali is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tritones Vallarta is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tritones Vallarta will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Mexicali won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Mexicali won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mexicali FC
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
09.03.24	Mexicali - Tecos FC	2:1 ✺
05.03.24	Correcaminos UAT 2 - Mexicali	1:1 ✺
28.02.24	Mexicali - Real Apodaca	0:4 ✺
23.02.24	Chihuahua - Mexicali	2:0 ✺
17.02.24	Mexicali - Orgullo Reynosa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.3 WTLLT
- Tritones Vallarta MFC
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
09.03.24	Leones Negros 2 - Tritones Vallarta	0:2 ✺
06.03.24	Tritones Vallarta - Tuzos UAZ	0:0 ✺
02.03.24	Tritones Vallarta - Colima	0:2 ✺
23.02.24	Tecos FC - Tritones Vallarta	2:3 ✺
17.02.24	Tritones Vallarta - Correcaminos UAT 2	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.2 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
21.10.23	Tritones Vallarta - Mexicali	1:0
04.03.23	Mexicali - Tritones Vallarta	0:1
08.10.22	Tritones Vallarta - Mexicali	2:0

Mexicali - Tritones Vallarta: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide