Match Info

MEXICO: Liga Premier Serie A - Apertura - Round 11

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday


	Leones Negros 2		Tritones Vallarta

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.3	3.5
	1.89	3.35	3.7
	1.92	3.38	3.7
	1.89	3.42	3.76
	1.88	3.44	3.62	Watch
	1.89	3.35	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.12)	3.37 ↑ (3.25)	3.66 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leones Negros 2
48.2%

Draw
27%

Tritones Vallarta
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

27.8%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

27.4%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leones Negros 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leones Negros 2's performance.

Tritones Vallarta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leones Negros 2 than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tritones Vallarta than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Leones Negros 2 - Tritones Vallarta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
65', 0 - 1, Mbaye I. ⚽,
73', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leones Negros 2
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
02.11.24	Tigres de Álica - Leones Negros 2	1:0 ✺
26.10.24	Leones Negros 2 - Real Apodaca	3:2 penalties ✺
22.10.24	Leones Negros 2 - Los Cabos United	4:0 ✺
19.10.24	Cimarrones de Sonora - Leones Negros 2	1:0 ✺
16.10.24	Leones Negros 2 - Tecos FC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LWWLW
- Tritones Vallarta MFC
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
28.10.24	Los Cabos United - Tritones Vallarta	2:1 ✺
19.10.24	Tigres de Álica - Tritones Vallarta	0:2 ✺
11.10.24	Cimarrones de Sonora - Tritones Vallarta	3:0 ✺
05.10.24	Tritones Vallarta - Tecos FC	1:1 ✺
28.09.24	Tuzos UAZ - Tritones Vallarta	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
09.03.24	Leones Negros 2 - Tritones Vallarta	0:2
08.10.23	Tritones Vallarta - Leones Negros 2	0:2
25.02.23	Tritones Vallarta - Leones Negros 2	1:0
01.10.22	Leones Negros 2 - Tritones Vallarta	0:3
02.04.22	Tritones Vallarta - Leones Negros 2	1:2
20.11.21	Leones Negros 2 - Tritones Vallarta	3:4 penalties

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