Match Info

MEXICO: LIGA PREMIER SERIE A - ROUND 23

Date: 17 February 2024, Saturday


	Tritones Vallarta		Correcaminos UAT 2

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	2.8
	2.17	3.07	3
	2.13	3.16	3.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (3.44)	3.11 ↑ (3.1)	3.01 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tritones Vallarta
41.2%

Draw
28.9%

Correcaminos UAT 2
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

29.7%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1%

29%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tritones Vallarta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tritones Vallarta's performance.

Correcaminos UAT 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Correcaminos UAT 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tritones Vallarta than the current prediction. (-15.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tritones Vallarta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Correcaminos UAT 2 than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Correcaminos UAT 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Tritones Vallarta - Correcaminos UAT 2 Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Tritones Vallarta will win (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: )).

Tritones Vallarta is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Correcaminos 2 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Correcaminos 2 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Correcaminos 2 will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Tritones Vallarta won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Tritones Vallarta won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tritones Vallarta MFC
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
10.02.24	Gavilanes de Matamoros - Tritones Vallarta	1:0 ✺
03.02.24	Tritones Vallarta - Chihuahua	0:1 ✺
26.01.24	Orgullo Reynosa - Tritones Vallarta	0:1 ✺
20.01.24	Tritones Vallarta - Coras	0:0 ✺
14.01.24	Real Apodaca - Tritones Vallarta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLWTL
- Correcaminos UAT 2
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
09.02.24	Correcaminos UAT 2 - Colima	2:1 ✺
02.02.24	Tecos FC - Correcaminos UAT 2	1:2 ✺
26.01.24	Correcaminos UAT 2 - Tuzos UAZ	1:0 ✺
19.01.24	Correcaminos UAT 2 - Gavilanes de Matamoros	1:2 ✺
12.01.24	Chihuahua - Correcaminos UAT 2	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
15.09.23	Correcaminos UAT 2 - Tritones Vallarta	2:0
19.02.22	Correcaminos UAT 2 - Tritones Vallarta	1:3
16.10.21	Tritones Vallarta - Correcaminos UAT 2	3:2

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