Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL Premier Division - Round 26

Date: 21 January 2025, Tuesday


	Blyth Spartans		Ashton United

	1	X	2
	4.2	4.1	1.57
	4.3	4.3	1.58
	4.26	4.87	1.58
	4.59	4.52	1.6	Watch
	4.33	3.75	1.6
	4.95	4.05	1.54
	4.3	4.3	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.42 ↑ (4.31)	4.27 ↑ (4.02)	1.58 ↓ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blyth Spartans
20.7%

Draw
21.4%

Ashton United
57.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.2%

22.7%

56.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5%

21.9%

58.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blyth Spartans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Ashton United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blyth Spartans than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ashton United than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Blyth Spartans - Ashton United Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Blyth will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Ashton will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Hardy J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', 0 - 2, Gilchrist J. ⚽,
67', 0 - 3, Hardy J. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Blyth won 2.

Blyth is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Ashton is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Blyth have a series of home games.

In this match Ashton is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Blyth won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 20:17 (average 1.7:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Blyth won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:6 (average 1.8:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blyth Spartans
English NPL Premier Division
18.01.25	United of Manchester - Blyth Spartans	2:1 ✺
01.01.25	Morpeth Town - Blyth Spartans	0:0 ✺
26.12.24	Blyth Spartans - Whitby Town	3:4 ✺
21.12.24	Hebburn Town - Blyth Spartans	3:1 ✺
14.12.24	Blyth Spartans - Prescot Cables	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LTLLT
- Ashton United
English NPL Premier Division
18.01.25	Ashton United - Whitby Town	5:0 ✺
07.01.25	Ashton United - Macclesfield Town	1:0 ✺
01.01.25	Ashton United - United of Manchester	2:0 ✺
21.12.24	Ashton United - Warrington Rylands	1:1 ✺
14.12.24	Morpeth Town - Ashton United	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
10.08.24	Ashton United - Blyth Spartans	2:2
English National League North
23.03.19	Ashton United - Blyth Spartans	0:3
08.12.18	Blyth Spartans - Ashton United	2:0
English NPL Premier Division
15.04.17	Ashton United - Blyth Spartans	1:1
23.08.16	Blyth Spartans - Ashton United	3:3
20.10.15	Blyth Spartans - Ashton United	1:1
25.08.15	Ashton United - Blyth Spartans	0:2

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