Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL Premier Division - Round 25

Date: 1 January 2025, Wednesday


	Lancaster City		Mickleover Sports

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.75	4.33
	1.62	3.85	4.4
	1.63	4.17	4.69
	1.67	3.5	4.4
	1.57	3.94	4.81
	1.62	3.85	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.64)	3.84 ↓ (3.86)	4.51 ↑ (4.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lancaster City
56.1%

Draw
23.7%

Mickleover Sports
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

23.7%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

21.7%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lancaster City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Mickleover Sports has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lancaster City than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mickleover Sports than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Lancaster City - Mickleover Sports Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lancaster won 2.

Recent matches Lancaster is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mickleover is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Lancaster is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Lancaster won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:8 (average 1.3:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Lancaster won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:3 (average 1.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lancaster City
English NPL Premier Division
26.12.24	Bamber Bridge - Lancaster City	2:3 ✺
21.12.24	Lancaster City - Workington	1:1 ✺
14.12.24	Lancaster City - Gainsborough Trinity	1:2 ✺
30.11.24	Whitby Town - Lancaster City	3:0 ✺
23.11.24	Lancaster City - Worksop Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WTLLT
- Mickleover Sports
English NPL Premier Division
21.12.24	Ilkeston - Mickleover Sports	1:0 ✺
14.12.24	Matlock Town - Mickleover Sports	2:0 ✺
10.12.24	Mickleover Sports - Gainsborough Trinity	1:2 ✺
30.11.24	United of Manchester - Mickleover Sports	2:1 ✺
26.11.24	Mickleover Sports - Macclesfield Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
26.08.24	Mickleover Sports - Lancaster City	0:0
23.04.22	Mickleover Sports - Lancaster City	3:1
28.08.21	Lancaster City - Mickleover Sports	3:0
19.10.19	Mickleover Sports - Lancaster City	1:3
13.04.19	Mickleover Sports - Lancaster City	1:1
12.01.19	Lancaster City - Mickleover Sports	2:2
23.12.17	Mickleover Sports - Lancaster City	0:1

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