Match Info

1st Division - Round 13

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Middelfart Stadium (Middelfart)

Referee: Gammelholm P. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Middelfart		Horsens

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.5	1.79
	4.25	3.55	1.81
	4.88	3.64	1.82
	4.32	3.56	1.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.45 ↑ (4.35)	3.56 ↓ (3.61)	1.8 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Middelfart
21.2%

Draw
26.5%

Horsens
52.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.7%

26.1%

52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22%

25.7%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Middelfart has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Horsens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Middelfart than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Horsens than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	40%	60%

Middelfart - Horsens Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Horsens will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Radza C. (G) 7. Linnet J. (C) 3. Kristensen M. 17. Greve M. 2. Reese S. 14. Barholt N. 11. Villemoes J. 26. Juul-Sandberg N. 27. Hansen M. 18. Wielzen J. 10. Akale A.	1. Delac M. (G) 4. Hausner S. 26. Palsson V. 24. Kolskogen O. 28. Saine A. 16. Moro A. 17. Herdonsson A. 7. Milicevic I. 9. Baturina R. 10. Kirkegaard K. 32. Olsen P.
Substitutes
21. Andersen E. 9. Boesen M. 22. Boyum Johansen C. 16. Gaub-Jakobsen A. (G) 77. Jensen L. 6. Kakeeto R. 15. Nielsen M. 25. Pedersen S. 5. Zjajo B.	29. Brandhof F. 30. Doua S. 33. Ludwig A. 20. Lusavec K. 14. Madsen J. 27. Ouorou Y. 11. Pingel S. 25. Sene F. 23. Smarsch D. (G)
Coaches
Engstrom K.	Nielsen D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, Saine A. ⚽, Milicevic I. (A),
44', Greve M. 🟨,
45', Milicevic I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
60', Saine A. ↓, Brandhof F. ↑,
61', Baturina R. ↓, Pingel S. ↑,
61', Moro A. ↓, Lusavec K. ↑,
68', Greve M. 🟨,
69', Hansen M. ↓, Jensen L. ↑,
69', Wielzen J. ↓, Zjajo B. ↑,
69', Barholt N. ↓, Pedersen S. ↑,
73', 0 - 2, Kirkegaard K. ⚽, Olsen P. (A),
75', Milicevic I. ↓, Madsen J. ↑,
84', 0 - 3, Pingel S. ⚽, Madsen J. (A),
84', Kirkegaard K. ↓, Doua S. ↑,
88', Zjajo B. ↓, Nielsen M. ↑,
89', Akale A. ↓, Kakeeto R. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )).

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Horsens may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Horsens is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Middelfart won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1:13. (average 0.2:2.6).

Including home match between the teams, Middelfart won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Middelfart G&BK
Danish 1 Division
04.10.25	Middelfart - Hillerød	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	B.93 Copenhagen - Middelfart	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Middelfart - Kolding IF	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Aalborg BK - Middelfart	4:0 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
03.09.25	Middelfart - Silkeborg IF	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLWLL
- AC Horsens
Danish 1 Division
03.10.25	Horsens - Hobro	3:3 ✺
27.09.25	Hillerød - Horsens	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Horsens - Esbjerg	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	HB Køge - Horsens	1:0 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
04.09.25	Horsens - Viborg	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
09.08.25	Horsens - Middelfart	2:0
Club Friendly
18.07.23	Horsens - Middelfart	2:1
19.01.21	Horsens - Middelfart	4:0
Danish Landspokal Cup
03.10.18	Middelfart - Horsens	0:3
Club Friendly
08.02.17	Horsens - Middelfart	2:0

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