Match Info

Motsepe Foundation Championship - Round 29

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday


	Midlands Wanderers		Lerumo Lions

	1	X	2
	1.92	3	3.8
	1.92	3.2	3.89
	1.92	3.16	3.9	Watch
	1.91	2.9	3.8
	1.92	3.08	3.91
	2.28	2.8	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.28)	3.02 ↑ (2.8)	3.69 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Midlands Wanderers
45.7%

Draw
29.9%

Lerumo Lions
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

31.1%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

30.3%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Midlands Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Midlands Wanderers's performance.

Lerumo Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lerumo Lions might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Midlands Wanderers than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Midlands Wanderers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lerumo Lions than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lerumo Lions could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Midlands Wanderers - Lerumo Lions Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 9).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Midlands may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Midlands won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Lerumo Lions	5	2	1	2	5:4	1	7
12	Midlands Wanderers	5	1	1	3	3:4	-1	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Midlands Wanderers
South African First Division
06.05.26	Gomora United - Midlands Wanderers	1:1 ✺
01.05.26	Highbury - Midlands Wanderers	3:1 ✺
26.04.26	Midlands Wanderers - Venda	1:0 ✺
21.04.26	Midlands Wanderers - Upington City	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Kruger United - Midlands Wanderers	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TLWWL
- Lerumo Lions
South African First Division
02.05.26	University of Pretoria - Lerumo Lions	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Lerumo Lions - Highbury	0:1 ✺
22.04.26	Leicesterford City - Lerumo Lions	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Lerumo Lions - Baroka	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	The Bees - Lerumo Lions	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

South African Nedbank Cup
03.12.25	Lerumo Lions - Midlands Wanderers	1:0
South African First Division
23.11.25	Lerumo Lions - Midlands Wanderers	2:1

Midlands Wanderers - Lerumo Lions: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide