Match Info

Superliga - Round 4

Date: 10 August 2025, Sunday

Location: MCH Arena (Herning)

Referee: Graagaard L. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X, TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
Ukraine	Sport 1, Sport 3
World	Sport 1 Baltic


	Midtjylland		Fredericia

	1	X	2
	1.36	5.75	6.5	Watch
	1.43	5	6
	1.38	5.4	7	Watch
	1.38	5.64	8
	1.12	9.01	15.79	Watch
	1.36	4.8	6.5
	1.38	5.83	6.59	Watch
	1.39	5.2	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↑ (1.34)	5.83 ↑ (5.47)	7.85 ↑ (7.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Midtjylland
71.2%

Draw
16.5%

Fredericia
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.2%

17.2%

12.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Midtjylland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Fredericia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	15.4%	0%

Midtjylland - Fredericia Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Midtjylland (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Users Predictions: Midtjylland will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Olafsson E. (G) 43. Mbabu K. (C) 3. Lee Han-Beom 6. Erlic M. 55. Bak V. 11. Osorio D. 21. Castillo D. 80. Dani Silva 58. Simsir A. 7. Franculino 74. Junior Brumado	1. Lamhauge M. (G) 8. Jessen J. 4. Kudsk J. 5. Rieper F. (C) 12. Crone S. 6. Winther F. 18. Pyndt A. 11. Opondo M. 10. Simonsen E. 7. Marcussen G. 19. Dall E.
Substitutes
22. Bech Sorensen M. 19. Bravo P. 9. Buksa A. 20. Byskov V. 90. Etim F. 13. Gabriel A. 41. Gogorza M. 1. Lossl J. (G) 29. Paulinho	97. Buch O. 14. Dahl A. 9. Egelund P. 23. Eriksen M. (G) 20. Haarbo D. 22. Huldahl M. 13. Madsen W. 98. Mucolli A. 2. Thogersen D.
Coaches
Thomasberg T.	Hansen M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Simsir A. ⚽, Dani Silva (A),
19', 1 - 1, Winther F. ⚽, Marcussen G. (A),
20', Castillo D. 🟨,
42', 2 - 1, Franculino ⚽, Junior Brumado (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Erlic M. ↓, Bech Sorensen M. ↑,
46', Opondo M. ↓, Buch O. ↑,
46', Osorio D. ↓, Byskov V. ↑,
61', Junior Brumado ↓, Buksa A. ↑,
61', Dall E. ↓, Mucolli A. ↑,
64', 3 - 1, Castillo D. ⚽, Franculino (A),
66', Castillo D. ↓, Bravo P. ↑,
72', 3 - 2, Buch O. ⚽, Simonsen E. (A),
73', Winther F. ↓, Madsen W. ↑,
73', Marcussen G. ↓, Dahl A. ↑,
79', Simsir A. ↓, Gogorza M. ↑,
84', Jessen J. ↓, Huldahl M. ↑,
85', 3 - 3, Dahl A. ⚽, Simonsen E. (A),
90', Dani Silva 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Midtjylland won 3.

Midtjylland is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Fredericia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Midtjylland is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Midtjylland: Buksa A. (Inactive) Chilufya E. (Red Card) Cho Gue-Sung (Knee Injury) Diao O. (Foot Injury)

We predict that Midtjylland will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Midtjylland won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:7. (average 3.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Midtjylland won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 18:5. (average 3.6:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Midtjylland
UEFA Europa League
07.08.25	Fredrikstad - Midtjylland	1:3 ✺
Danish Superliga
03.08.25	AGF Aarhus - Midtjylland	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
31.07.25	Hibernian - Midtjylland	1:2 ET ✺
Danish Superliga
28.07.25	Midtjylland - SønderjyskE	6:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.07.25	Midtjylland - Hibernian	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WTWWT
- FC Fredericia
Danish Superliga
01.08.25	Fredericia - Copenhagen	0:2 ✺
27.07.25	Silkeborg IF - Fredericia	0:2 ✺
20.07.25	Fredericia - Nordsjælland	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
08.07.25	Copenhagen - Fredericia	1:1 ✺
Danish 1 Division
23.05.25	Fredericia - Kolding IF	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.9 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
30.01.24	Midtjylland - Fredericia	7:0
28.08.20	Midtjylland - Fredericia	5:1
30.01.20	Midtjylland - Fredericia	0:1
19.01.19	Midtjylland - Fredericia	4:1
30.06.18	Midtjylland - Fredericia	2:2
27.06.13	Fredericia - Midtjylland	2:2

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