Match Info

Europa League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 7 August 2025, Thursday

Location: Fredrikstad Stadion (Fredrikstad)

Referee: Pajac I. (Cro)


	Fredrikstad		Midtjylland

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.9	1.75	Watch
	3.6	3.75	1.87
	3.7	3.7	1.88
	3.8	3.65	1.77
	4.17	3.73	1.80	Watch
	3.7	3.6	1.83	Watch
	3.83	3.83	1.93	Watch
	3.6	3.75	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.79 ↑ (3.14)	3.74 ↑ (3.66)	1.83 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fredrikstad
24.5%

Draw
24.8%

Midtjylland
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

25%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

24.2%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fredrikstad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Midtjylland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fredrikstad than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Midtjylland than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.4%	18.5%	74.1%

Fredrikstad - Midtjylland Predictions

Users Predictions: 52 users predict this event. Fredrikstad will win (votes: 3 - 5.8%). Midtjylland will win (votes: 40 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 17.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Midtjylland: 65.4% – 88.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Midtjylland (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Fredrikstad (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Midtjylland will win (19 of 24 users predict this - 79.17%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 26 Selected Experts predict this event. Fredrikstad (votes: 3 - 11.5%). Midtjylland (votes: 20 - 76.9%). Tie (votes: 3 - 11.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Borsheim M. (G) 22. Woledzi M. 12. Fredriksen U. 5. Rafn S. (C) 16. Eid D. 13. Sorlokk S. 6. Owusu L. 11. Metcalfe P. 4. Molde S. 20. Ohlenschlaeger O. 9. Holten E.	16. Olafsson E. (G) 13. Gabriel A. 3. Lee Han-Beom 22. Bech Sorensen M. (C) 29. Paulinho 11. Osorio D. 24. Sorensen O. 19. Bravo P. 41. Gogorza M. 7. Franculino 74. Junior Brumado
Substitutes
18. Begby L. 14. Bjartalid J. 40. Granaas E. 17. Kvile S. 25. Langbraten O. (G) 2. Okpaleke K. 1. Ovretveit O. (G) 28. Owusu S. 19. Shein R. R. 3. Skaret B. 23. Skogvold H. 32. Solberg J.	55. Bak V. 33. Bjerge G. 20. Byskov V. 21. Castillo D. 14. Chilufya E. 80. Dani Silva 6. Erlic M. 90. Etim F. 1. Lossl J. (G) 43. Mbabu K. 31. Selin L. (G) 58. Simsir A.
Coaches
Hagen A.	Thomasberg T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
14', 0 - 1, Franculino ⚽,
32', 0 - 2, Gogorza M. ⚽, Osorio D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', Eid D. ↓, Owusu S. ↑,
57', Sorlokk S. ↓, Bjartalid J. ↑,
63', Gogorza M. ↓, Simsir A. ↑,
63', Junior Brumado ↓, Castillo D. ↑,
63', Paulinho ↓, Bak V. ↑,
71', Metcalfe P. ↓, Shein R. R. ↑,
71', Holten E. ↓, Skogvold H. ↑,
71', Osorio D. ↓, Byskov V. ↑,
77', 1 - 2, Bjartalid J. ⚽, Ohlenschlaeger O. (A),
79', 1 - 3, Castillo D. ⚽, Byskov V. (A),
82', Lee Han-Beom 🟨,
83', Franculino ↓, Etim F. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Fredrikstad has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Midtjylland is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Fredrikstad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Midtjylland might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fredrikstad won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fredrikstad FK
Norwegian Eliteserien
02.08.25	Tromsø - Fredrikstad	0:0 ✺
25.07.25	Fredrikstad - Strømsgodset	3:2 ✺
20.07.25	Hamarkameratene - Fredrikstad	1:1 ✺
16.07.25	Fredrikstad - Bodø Glimt	0:1 ✺
12.07.25	Fredrikstad - Molde	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TWTLW
- FC Midtjylland
Danish Superliga
03.08.25	AGF Aarhus - Midtjylland	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
31.07.25	Hibernian - Midtjylland	1:2 ET ✺
Danish Superliga
28.07.25	Midtjylland - SønderjyskE	6:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.07.25	Midtjylland - Hibernian	1:1 ✺
Danish Superliga
20.07.25	Midtjylland - OB Odense	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Atlantic Cup
09.02.24	Midtjylland - Fredrikstad	0:1

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