Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - FINAL

Date: 24 August 2023, Thursday

Location: MCH Arena (Herning)

Referee: Balakin M. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay


	Midtjylland		Legia Warsaw

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.2	3	Watch
	2.3	3.4	2.75
	2.28	3.5	2.95
	2.38	3.5	2.9
	2.45	3.53	2.84
	2.38	3.58	2.77	Watch
	2.4	3.5	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (1.9)	3.46 ↓ (3.6)	2.88 ↓ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Midtjylland
39.9%

Draw
27.3%

Legia Warsaw
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

26.4%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

27%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Midtjylland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Midtjylland's form might have worsened.

Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Legia Warsaw's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Midtjylland than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Midtjylland, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Legia Warsaw, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.4%	7.8%	13.7%

Midtjylland - Legia Warsaw Predictions

Users Predictions: Midtjylland will win (40 of 51 users predict this - 78.43%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.14% – 89.72%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lossl J. (G) 14. Dalsgaard H. (C) 4. Gartenmann S. 73. Juninho 29. Paulinho 24. Sorensen O. 5. Martinez E. 8. Olsson K. 37. Gigovic A. 17. Franculino 58. Simsir A.	1. Tobiasz K. (G) 55. Jedrzejczyk A. 8. Augustyniak R. 5. Ribeiro Y. 13. Wszolek P. 99. Slisz B. 22. Elitim J. 33. Kun P. 27. Josue (C) 7. Pekhart T. 28. Gual M.
Substitutes
35. Charles 18. Chilufya E. 38. da Silva Liberato M. 44. Dyhr N. 25. Fossum I. 50. Fraisl M. (G) 13. Gabriel A. 33. Gogorza 90. Hedvall O. (G) 74. Junior Brumado 26. Ortiz Cabezas P. A. 2. Romer A.	32. Baku M. 21. Celhaka J. 30. Hladun D. (G) 14. Kharatin I. 23. Kobylak G. (G) 9. Kramer B. 20. Muci E. 12. Pankov R. 92. Rose L. 39. Rosolek M. 18. Sokolowski P. 86. Strzalek I.
Coaches
Thomasberg T.	Runjaic K.

Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Midtjylland is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Legia is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Midtjylland will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Midtjylland won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Midtjylland won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Midtjylland
Danish Superliga
20.08.23	Midtjylland - Brøndby	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
17.08.23	Midtjylland - Omonia	5:1 ✺
Danish Superliga
13.08.23	Vejle Boldklub Kolding - Midtjylland	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.08.23	Omonia - Midtjylland	1:0 ✺
Danish Superliga
06.08.23	Lyngby BK - Midtjylland	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWWLL
- Legia Warsaw
Polish Ekstraklasa
20.08.23	Legia Warsaw - Korona Kielce	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
17.08.23	Austria Wien - Legia Warsaw	3:5 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
13.08.23	Puszcza Niepołomice - Legia Warsaw	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.08.23	Legia Warsaw - Austria Wien	1:2 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
06.08.23	Legia Warsaw - Ruch Chorzów	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
26.11.15	Legia Warsaw - Midtjylland	1:0
17.09.15	Midtjylland - Legia Warsaw	1:0

Upcoming Matches