Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 17 August 2023, Thursday

Location: Generali Arena (Vienna)

Referee: Vad I. (Hun)


	Austria Wien		Legia Warsaw

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.6	2.45	Watch
	2.45	3.4	2.5	Watch
	2.6	3.35	2.6
	2.63	3.5	2.5
	2.67	3.5	2.51
	2.69	3.58	2.44	Watch
	2.6	3.7	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↓ (2.75)	3.52 ↑ (3.25)	2.51 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Austria Wien
36%

Draw
26.7%

Legia Warsaw
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

29.1%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

30.7%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Austria Wien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austria Wien than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	16%	44%

Austria Wien - Legia Warsaw Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Austria will win (votes: 10 - 40%). Legia will win (votes: 11 - 44%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 24.5% – 63.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fruchtl C. (G) 26. Ranftl R. 46. Handl J. 66. Martins M. 3. Lucas Galvao 19. Potzmann M. 8. Holland J. (C) 23. Braunoder M. 17. Gruber A. 36. Fitz D. 9. Huskovic M.	1. Tobiasz K. (G) 55. Jedrzejczyk A. 8. Augustyniak R. 5. Ribeiro Y. 13. Wszolek P. 99. Slisz B. 22. Elitim J. 33. Kun P. 27. Josue (C) 7. Pekhart T. 28. Gual M.
Substitutes
5. Baltaxa M. 30. Fischer M. 21. Guenouche H. 77. Jukic A. 99. Kos M. (G) 40. Meisl M. 11. Polster M. 33. Schmidt A. 60. Silva Kani 27. Vucic R. 13. Wedl L. (G)	32. Baku M. 21. Celhaka J. 30. Hladun D. (G) 14. Kharatin I. 23. Kobylak G. (G) 9. Kramer B. 20. Muci E. 26. Rejczyk F. 92. Rose L. 39. Rosolek M. 18. Sokolowski P. 86. Strzalek I.
Coaches
Wimmer M.	Runjaic K.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Recently Austria have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Austria won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Austria Wien
Austrian Bundesliga
13.08.23	Red Bull Salzburg - Austria Wien	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.08.23	Legia Warsaw - Austria Wien	1:2 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
06.08.23	Austria Lustenau - Austria Wien	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.08.23	Borac Banja Luka - Austria Wien	1:2 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
30.07.23	Austria Wien - Sturm Graz	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWWWL
- Legia Warsaw
Polish Ekstraklasa
13.08.23	Puszcza Niepołomice - Legia Warsaw	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.08.23	Legia Warsaw - Austria Wien	1:2 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
06.08.23	Legia Warsaw - Ruch Chorzów	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.08.23	Legia Warsaw - Ordabasy	3:2 ✺
27.07.23	Ordabasy - Legia Warsaw	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
10.08.23	Legia Warsaw - Austria Wien	1:2

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