Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 10 August 2023, Thursday

Location: Stadion Wojska Polskiego (Warsaw)

Referee: Gaillouste P. (Fgu)


	Legia Warsaw		Austria Wien

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.75	4.33	Watch
	1.68	3.9	4.1
	1.63	3.75	4.75
	1.73	3.8	4.5
	1.69	4	4.83
	1.68	4.05	4.6	Watch
	1.7	4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.9)	3.89 ↑ (3.6)	4.59 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Legia Warsaw
55.6%

Draw
24%

Austria Wien
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

26.4%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

25.7%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Legia Warsaw's performance.

Austria Wien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austria Wien than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.4%	6.5%	16.1%

Legia Warsaw - Austria Wien Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Legia will win (votes: 24 - 77.4%). Austria will win (votes: 5 - 16.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 62.7% – 92.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tobiasz K. (G) 12. Pankov R. 8. Augustyniak R. 5. Ribeiro Y. 13. Wszolek P. 99. Slisz B. 22. Elitim J. 33. Kun P. 27. Josue (C) 7. Pekhart T. 28. Gual M.	1. Fruchtl C. (G) 26. Ranftl R. 24. Plavotic T. 3. Lucas Galvao 66. Martins M. 23. Braunoder M. 8. Holland J. (C) 19. Potzmann M. 17. Gruber A. 9. Huskovic M. 36. Fitz D.
Substitutes
32. Baku M. 21. Celhaka J. 30. Hladun D. (G) 55. Jedrzejczyk A. 67. Kapustka B. 14. Kharatin I. 20. Muci E. 11. Pich R. 92. Rose L. 39. Rosolek M. 18. Sokolowski P. 86. Strzalek I.	30. Fischer M. 21. Guenouche H. 46. Handl J. 99. Kos M. (G) 40. Meisl M. 11. Polster M. 33. Schmidt A. 60. Silva Kani 27. Vucic R. 13. Wedl L. (G)
Coaches
Runjaic K.	Wimmer M.

Preview

1st leg.

Legia in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Austria is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Legia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Legia is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Legia to win the game is with odds 1.66.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Legia Warsaw
Polish Ekstraklasa
06.08.23	Legia Warsaw - Ruch Chorzów	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.08.23	Legia Warsaw - Ordabasy	3:2 ✺
27.07.23	Ordabasy - Legia Warsaw	2:2 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
21.07.23	Legia Warsaw - ŁKS Łódź	3:0 ✺
Polish Super Cup
15.07.23	Raków Częstochowa - Legia Warsaw	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWTWW
- Austria Wien
Austrian Bundesliga
06.08.23	Austria Lustenau - Austria Wien	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.08.23	Borac Banja Luka - Austria Wien	1:2 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
30.07.23	Austria Wien - Sturm Graz	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.07.23	Austria Wien - Borac Banja Luka	1:0 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
21.07.23	Spittal - Austria Wien	0:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWLWW

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