Match Info

Division 1 - Round 27

Date: 7 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Stadion im. Orła Białego (Legnica)

Referee: Idzik P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	Miedź Legnica		Polonia Bytom

	1	X	2
	1.67	4	4.1	Watch
	1.7	4.05	4.05
	1.68	4.44	4.29
	1.83	4.19	3.59	Watch
	1.65	4	3.9
	1.7	4.09	4.19
	1.88	3.19	3.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.88)	3.99 ↑ (3.19)	3.95 ↑ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miedź Legnica
53.4%

Draw
23.1%

Polonia Bytom
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

27.8%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

24.5%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miedź Legnica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Miedź Legnica's performance.

Polonia Bytom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miedź Legnica than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Miedź Legnica that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Bytom than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Polonia Bytom could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Miedź Legnica - Polonia Bytom Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Miedź (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Miedź Legnica will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
72. Lucic I. (G) 99. Kwiecien B. 15. Jovicic M. 3. Grudzinski M. (C) 49. Szymoniak O. 23. Rakip E. 8. Serafin J. 78. Polak C. 18. Cordoba A. 98. Antonik K. 21. Stanclik D.	1. Banasik W. (G) 14. Szymusik G. 30. Krzyzak O. 5. Matic M. 27. Apolinarski J. 8. Labojko M. 18. Gajda T. 7. Zielinski L. 11. Andrzejczak K. 9. Wojtyra K. 21. Lukowski J.
Substitutes
25. Czyborra L. 14. Drygas K. 11. Kuchko G. 17. Maliszewski I. 95. Mansfeld M. 10. Mioc B. 6. Podgorski J. 59. Stepinski P. 44. Wrabel J. (G)	4. Bakala M. 15. Kwiatkowski O. 20. Labedzki J. 10. Michalski K. 76. Rajczykowski J. (G) 19. Sarmiento J. 16. Stefanski P. 77. Szymanski J. 17. Wolkowicz K.
Coaches
Niedzwiedz J.	Mroz W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', Polak C. 🟨,
36', Gajda T. 🟨,
38', Grudzinski M. 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Polak C. ⚽, Szymoniak O. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', Lukowski J. ↓, Kwiatkowski O. ↑,
61', Szymusik G. ↓, Szymanski J. ↑,
61', Apolinarski J. ↓, Michalski K. ↑,
69', Kwiecien B. ↓, Stepinski P. ↑,
69', Cordoba A. ↓, Mioc B. ↑,
69', Antonik K. ↓, Mansfeld M. ↑,
75', Wojtyra K. ↓, Sarmiento J. ↑,
80', Stanclik D. ↓, Podgorski J. ↑,
82', Matic M. ↓, Wolkowicz K. ↑,
85', Rakip E. ↓, Drygas K. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 1, Gajda T. ⚽, Szymanski J. (A),

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 12).

Miedź has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Polonia Bytom's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Miedź is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Miedź won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Miedź won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now

Legnica: 4.51% Polonia Bytom: 0.41%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Legnica	9	4	2	3	14:9	5	14
15	Polonia Bytom	9	1	6	2	14:17	-3	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miedź Legnica
Polish Division 1
21.03.26	Polonia Warsaw - Miedź Legnica	1:1 ✺
13.03.26	Wisła Kraków - Miedź Legnica	3:2 ✺
07.03.26	Miedź Legnica - Stal Rzeszów	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	ŁKS Łódź - Miedź Legnica	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Miedź Legnica - Chrobry Głogów	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TLWTL
- Polonia Bytom
Polish Division 1
21.03.26	Polonia Bytom - GKS Tychy	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Polonia Bytom - Ruch Chorzów	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Polonia Bytom	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Polonia Bytom - Pogoń Siedlce	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Stal Rzeszów - Polonia Bytom	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
20.09.25	Polonia Bytom - Miedź Legnica	4:0
13.04.13	Miedź Legnica - Polonia Bytom	1:0

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