Match Info

Division 1 - Round 23

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski (Grodzisk Mazowiecki)

Referee: Kaliszewski F. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki		Polonia Bytom

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	2.63
	2.28	3.6	2.72	Watch
	2.33	3.64	2.89
	2.3	3.81	2.74	Watch
	2.25	3.3	2.75
	2.33	3.59	2.77	Watch
	2.21	3.65	2.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.38)	3.57 ↑ (3.3)	2.75 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
40.6%

Draw
25.8%

Polonia Bytom
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

27.5%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Polonia Bytom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	16.7%	33.3%

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Polonia Bytom Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Grodzisk Mazowiecki will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Polonia Bytom will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Grodzisk Mazowiecki (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kieszek P. (G) 52. Olewinski O. 4. Korczakowski I. 16. Gajgier A. 17. Niewiadomski J. 27. Konstantyn J. 31. Staniszewski J. 21. Los K. (C) 77. Adkonis J. 71. Szczepaniak M. 9. Gieroba S.	76. Rajczykowski J. (G) 77. Szymanski J. 30. Krzyzak O. 17. Wolkowicz K. 27. Apolinarski J. 4. Bakala M. 8. Labojko M. 16. Stefanski P. 15. Kwiatkowski O. 9. Wojtyra K. 18. Gajda T. (C)
Substitutes
23. Adamczyk H. 30. Barnowski D. 5. Dias M. 25. Glacel M. (G) 10. Jaron D. 7. Jedrasik J. 11. Kargulewicz K. 13. Lis J. 20. Wypart O.	11. Andrzejczak K. 13. Azatsky O. 1. Banasik W. (G) 22. Calavera J. 20. Labedzki J. 21. Lukowski J. 5. Matic M. 10. Michalski K. 14. Szymusik G.
Coaches
Stokowiec P.	Czubak P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', Bakala M. 🟨,
37', 0 - 1, Wojtyra K. ⚽, Gajda T. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', Korczakowski I. ↓, Adamczyk H. ↑,
62', Bakala M. ↓, Andrzejczak K. ↑,
63', Stefanski P. 🟨,
64', 1 - 1, Gieroba S. ⚽, Szczepaniak M. (A),
71', Stefanski P. ↓, Lukowski J. ↑,
71', Kwiatkowski O. ↓, Matic M. ↑,
76', Apolinarski J. 🟨,
81', Konstantyn J. ↓, Jedrasik J. ↑,
82', 2 - 1, Gieroba S. ⚽,
83', Apolinarski J. ↓, Calavera J. ↑,
83', Labojko M. ↓, Labedzki J. ↑,
86', Szczepaniak M. ↓, Jaron D. ↑,
86', Olewinski O. ↓, Barnowski D. ↑,
90+3', Niewiadomski J. 🟨,

Preview

In recent matches, Polonia Bytom has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Polonia Bytom has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Grodzisk Mazowiecki won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Grodzisk Mazowiecki won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now

Polonia Bytom: 0.41%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Polonia Bytom	9	1	6	2	14:17	-3	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Polish Division 1
21.02.26	Znicz Pruszków - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	0:0 ✺
15.02.26	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Wisła Kraków	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Miedź Legnica - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
21.01.26	Stal Rzeszów - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:1 ✺
Polish Division 1
06.12.25	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TTTTT
- Polonia Bytom
Polish Division 1
22.02.26	Polonia Bytom - Pogoń Siedlce	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Stal Rzeszów - Polonia Bytom	3:1 ✺
07.02.26	Polonia Bytom - ŁKS Łódź	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
30.01.26	Polonia Bytom - Prostějov	5:1 ✺
24.01.26	Polonia Bytom - Podhale Nowy Targ	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 TLLW?

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
20.08.25	Polonia Bytom - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	3:0
Polish Division 2
16.11.24	Polonia Bytom - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	0:1
20.07.24	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Polonia Bytom	2:0

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