Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP III - ROUND 29

Date: 20 May 2023, Saturday


	Miedź Legnica 2		Polonia Bytom

	1	X	2
	6.25	4.8	1.35
	4.75	4.33	1.5
	5.52	4.3	1.34
	6.75	4.8	1.37	Watch
	5.3	4.6	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.71 ↓ (6)	4.57 ↓ (5.25)	1.4 ↑ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miedź Legnica 2
15.8%

Draw
19.7%

Polonia Bytom
64.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.2%

17.3%

67.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.6%

16.6%

70.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miedź Legnica 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Polonia Bytom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miedź Legnica 2 than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Bytom than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Polonia Bytom could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Miedź Legnica 2 - Polonia Bytom Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Miedź 2 won 1.

Miedź 2 is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Polonia Bytom is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Polonia Bytom could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Polonia Bytom is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Miedź 2 won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Miedź 2 won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miedź Legnica 2
Polish Division 3 - Group III
13.05.23	Lechia Zielona Góra - Miedź Legnica 2	1:0 ✺
05.05.23	Miedź Legnica 2 - Stilon Gorzów Wielkopolski	3:1 ✺
29.04.23	Stal Brzeg - Miedź Legnica 2	1:1 ✺
23.04.23	Miedź Legnica 2 - Ślęza Wrocław	2:4 ✺
15.04.23	Raków Częstochowa II - Miedź Legnica 2	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWTLL
- Polonia Bytom
Polish Division 3 - Group III
13.05.23	Kluczbork - Polonia Bytom	4:5 ✺
06.05.23	Polonia Bytom - Lechia Zielona Góra	1:0 ✺
29.04.23	Stilon Gorzów Wielkopolski - Polonia Bytom	0:3 ✺
22.04.23	Polonia Bytom - Stal Brzeg	1:0 ✺
15.04.23	Ślęza Wrocław - Polonia Bytom	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
15.10.22	Polonia Bytom - Miedź Legnica 2	1:2
20.11.21	Polonia Bytom - Miedź Legnica 2	1:1
08.08.21	Miedź Legnica 2 - Polonia Bytom	2:2
20.03.21	Polonia Bytom - Miedź Legnica 2	1:0
30.09.20	Miedź Legnica 2 - Polonia Bytom	2:3
14.09.19	Polonia Bytom - Miedź Legnica 2	2:4

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