Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP III - ROUND 27

Date: 6 May 2023, Saturday


	Polonia Bytom		Lechia Zielona Góra

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.4	6
	1.4	4.5	5.25
	1.4	4.36	5.98
	1.39	4.55	6.8	Watch
	1.45	4.7	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.5)	4.5 ↓ (4.6)	5.77 ↑ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polonia Bytom
64.3%

Draw
20.1%

Lechia Zielona Góra
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

19.6%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

18.3%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polonia Bytom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Lechia Zielona Góra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

The ML Model estimate for Polonia Bytom aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lechia Zielona Góra than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Polonia Bytom - Lechia Zielona Góra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Polonia Bytom won 4.

Polonia Bytom is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Zielona Góra is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Polonia Bytom is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Polonia Bytom to win the game is with odds 1.4.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Polonia Bytom won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 16-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Polonia Bytom won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polonia Bytom
Polish Division 3 - Group III
29.04.23	Stilon Gorzów Wielkopolski - Polonia Bytom	0:3 ✺
22.04.23	Polonia Bytom - Stal Brzeg	1:0 ✺
15.04.23	Ślęza Wrocław - Polonia Bytom	1:0 ✺
08.04.23	Polonia Bytom - Raków Częstochowa II	3:1 ✺
01.04.23	Górnik 2 Zabrze - Polonia Bytom	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLWW
- Lechia Zielona Góra
Polish Division 3 - Group III
29.04.23	Kluczbork - Lechia Zielona Góra	0:0 ✺
22.04.23	Lechia Zielona Góra - Stilon Gorzów Wielkopolski	1:3 ✺
15.04.23	Stal Brzeg - Lechia Zielona Góra	2:2 ✺
12.04.23	Lechia Zielona Góra - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry	2:2 ✺
08.04.23	Lechia Zielona Góra - Ślęza Wrocław	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
01.10.22	Lechia Zielona Góra - Polonia Bytom	1:1
30.04.22	Lechia Zielona Góra - Polonia Bytom	1:2
25.09.21	Polonia Bytom - Lechia Zielona Góra	1:0
29.05.21	Lechia Zielona Góra - Polonia Bytom	1:4
31.10.20	Polonia Bytom - Lechia Zielona Góra	2:0
19.10.19	Polonia Bytom - Lechia Zielona Góra	4:0
Polish Division 2 - West
29.03.14	Polonia Bytom - Lechia Zielona Góra	2:1

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