Match Info

Division 1 - Round 6

Date: 19 August 2025, Tuesday

Location: Stadion im. Orła Białego (Legnica)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Miedź Legnica		ŁKS Łódź

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.6	2.55	Watch
	2.45	3.4	2.55
	2.45	3.45	2.58	Watch
	2.42	3.69	2.72
	1.46	4.50	6.09	Watch
	2.45	3.2	2.6
	2.42	3.52	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.43)	3.62 ↑ (3.28)	3.09 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miedź Legnica
42%

Draw
26.7%

ŁKS Łódź
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

27.9%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

27.2%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miedź Legnica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ŁKS Łódź has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miedź Legnica than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Miedź Legnica that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ŁKS Łódź than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	28.6%	42.9%

Miedź Legnica - ŁKS Łódź Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Miedź will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). ŁKS will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for ŁKS: 17% – 68.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Miedź (votes: 1 - 16.7%). ŁKS (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - ŁKS (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Miedź (votes: 1 - 14.3%). ŁKS (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Wrabel J. (G) 99. Kwiecien B. 2. Koscielny K. 3. Grudzinski M. 7. Bochnak M. 8. Serafin J. 14. Drygas K. (C) 11. Kuchko G. 98. Antonik K. 21. Stanclik D. 18. Cordoba A.	1. Bobek A. (G) 2. Loffelsend J. 6. Rudol S. (C) 22. Craciun A. 26. Ksiazek M. 10. Ernst S. 20. Wysokinski M. 30. Szczepanski M. 19. Krykun S. 99. Piasecki F. 11. Norlin G.
Substitutes
9. Engvall G. 63. Hajda W. 95. Mansfeld M. 10. Mioc B. 80. Petrovic Z. 6. Podgorski J. 59. Stepinski P. 1. Sydorenko D. (G) 49. Szymoniak O.	7. Balic H. 12. Bomba L. (G) 28. Falowski K. 8. Hinokio K. 31. Jurkiewicz A. 21. Kupczak M. 90. Lewandowski M. 15. Mlynarczyk A. 24. Wziech M.
Coaches
Niedzwiedz J.	Grabowski S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Rudol S. (Own goal),
36', 2 - 0, Cordoba A. ⚽, Serafin J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Szczepanski M. ↓, Lewandowski M. ↑,
46', Ksiazek M. ↓, Jurkiewicz A. ↑,
58', Kwiecien B. 🟨,
62', 2 - 1, Piasecki F. (Pen),
63', Kwiecien B. ↓, Stepinski P. ↑,
66', Krykun S. ↓, Balic H. ↑,
67', Drygas K. ↓, Petrovic Z. ↑,
69', Loffelsend J. 🟨,
77', Wysokinski M. ↓, Hinokio K. ↑,
80', Bobek A. 🟨,
84', Loffelsend J. ↓, Kupczak M. ↑,
86', Antonik K. ↓, Engvall G. ↑,
86', Cordoba A. ↓, Podgorski J. ↑,
86', Serafin J. ↓, Hajda W. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miedź won 4.

Miedź has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, ŁKS has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

ŁKS may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Miedź has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Miedź won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 1.7:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Miedź won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Miedź Legnica - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 37.73%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miedź Legnica
Polish Division 1
16.08.25	Chrobry Głogów - Miedź Legnica	2:2 ✺
08.08.25	Śląsk Wrocław - Miedź Legnica	3:1 ✺
02.08.25	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Miedź Legnica	4:0 ✺
28.07.25	Odra Opole - Miedź Legnica	2:1 ✺
19.07.25	GKS Tychy - Miedź Legnica	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLLL
- ŁKS Łódź
Polish Division 1
15.08.25	ŁKS Łódź - Stal Mielec	2:0 ✺
09.08.25	Chrobry Głogów - ŁKS Łódź	2:1 ✺
01.08.25	ŁKS Łódź - Polonia Bytom	5:0 ✺
26.07.25	Wisła Kraków - ŁKS Łódź	5:0 ✺
18.07.25	ŁKS Łódź - Znicz Pruszków	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
23.02.25	ŁKS Łódź - Miedź Legnica	0:1
10.08.24	Miedź Legnica - ŁKS Łódź	1:0
25.03.22	ŁKS Łódź - Miedź Legnica	0:1
11.09.21	Miedź Legnica - ŁKS Łódź	0:2
29.05.21	Miedź Legnica - ŁKS Łódź	3:0
01.12.20	ŁKS Łódź - Miedź Legnica	3:4

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