Match Info

Ykkosliiga

Date: 5 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Mikkelin Urheilupuisto (Mikkeli)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Mikkelin Palloilijat		Haka

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.95	3.6	1.78
	3.84	3.94	1.85
	3.72	4.12	1.8	Watch
	3.75	3.85	1.8
	3.91	3.72	1.74	Watch
	3.55	3.50	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.79 ↓ (4.42)	3.79 ↑ (3.74)	1.8 ↑ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mikkelin Palloilijat
24.4%

Draw
24.3%

Haka
51.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.9%

24.8%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5%

24.4%

55.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mikkelin Palloilijat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Haka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mikkelin Palloilijat than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haka than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	9.1%	63.6%

Mikkelin Palloilijat - Haka Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Mikkelin Palloilijat will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Haka will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Haka: 35.2% – 92%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Uronen J. (C) 45. Atakayi S. 7. Chishima A. 19. Janhunen V. 24. Kawale R. 4. Laiho V. 16. Obioha S. 29. Ring A. 28. Tervaniemi A. 97. Traore A. 10. Ylonen E.	12. Lepola A. (C) 9. Ali Abubakar T. 4. Auvinen E. 3. Friberg N. 8. Karlsson J. 16. Laaksonen O. 21. Nurmi K. 30. Purosalo V. 6. Silas C. 15. Syrjalainen M. 77. Whyte O.
Substitutes
6. Afshari T. 13. Karttunen V. 87. Kastrati M. 99. Kerminen P. 12. Kimari O. 8. Koivuniemi M. 17. Seppanen S. 15. Stenius S. 1. Wilson S. (G)	44. Keto-Diyawa A. 7. Lahdensuo T. 11. Lanquedoc I. 23. Lehtinen T. 13. Mahlamaki M. 24. Sitchinava N. 32. Slawuta F. (G) 5. Sovelius T. 2. Tiihonen A.
Coaches
Thiaw I.	Ekmark T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Obioha S. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Tervaniemi A. ↓, Kastrati M. ↑,
46', Nurmi K. ↓, Lanquedoc I. ↑,
51', Karlsson J. 🟨,
59', Kawale R. ↓, Afshari T. ↑,
60', Ylonen E. ↓, Kerminen P. ↑,
61', Auvinen E. ↓, Keto-Diyawa A. ↑,
63', 1 - 1, Laaksonen O. ⚽,
69', 2 - 1, Kerminen P. ⚽, Afshari T. (A),
71', Silas C. ↓, Mahlamaki M. ↑,
73', Lanquedoc I. 🟨,
81', Whyte O. ↓, Lahdensuo T. ↑,
83', Obioha S. ↓, Seppanen S. ↑,
87', Purosalo V. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mikkelin Palloilijat won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Haka is considered a favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Mikkelin Palloilijat won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:15. (average 0.8:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Mikkelin Palloilijat won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.7:2.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Haka	25	13	5	7	47:29	18	44
7	Mikkeli	25	8	5	12	27:35	-8	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mikkelin Palloilijat
Finnish Ykkosliiga
26.06.26	PK-35 Vantaa - Mikkelin Palloilijat	2:1 ✺
14.06.26	Mikkelin Palloilijat - Klubi 04	2:2 ✺
06.06.26	Ekenäs - Mikkelin Palloilijat	1:0 ✺
31.05.26	Mikkelin Palloilijat - Ekenäs	1:0 ✺
22.05.26	JäPS - Mikkelin Palloilijat	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LTLWW
- FC Haka
Finnish Ykkoscup
27.06.26	Haka - KTP Kotka	0:2 ✺
Finnish Ykkosliiga
15.06.26	SJK Akatemia - Haka	0:2 ✺
08.06.26	KTP Kotka - Haka	0:2 ✺
05.06.26	Haka - JäPS	1:2 ✺
29.05.26	Haka - JIPPO	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkosliiga
02.05.26	Mikkelin Palloilijat - Haka	1:0
Finnish Cup
16.06.20	Mikkelin Palloilijat - Haka	1:3
07.03.17	Haka - Mikkelin Palloilijat	5:0
Finnish Ykkonen
01.10.15	Haka - Mikkelin Palloilijat	2:0
02.08.15	Mikkelin Palloilijat - Haka	3:4
04.06.15	Haka - Mikkelin Palloilijat	1:0

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