Match Info

Date: 3 August 2021, Tuesday


	Mikkelin Palloilijat		VPS Vaasa

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.5	3.5	Watch
	1.98	3.6	3
	2.05	3.4	3.3
	2.06	3.5	3.15
	2.12	3.64	3.48
	2.15	3.3	3.1
	2.09	3.68	3.13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.49)	3.52 ↑ (3.37)	3.24 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mikkelin Palloilijat
44.9%

Draw
26.4%

VPS Vaasa
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

27.6%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

19.8%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mikkelin Palloilijat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mikkelin Palloilijat's performance.

VPS Vaasa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and VPS Vaasa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mikkelin Palloilijat than the current prediction. (-18%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mikkelin Palloilijat that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VPS Vaasa than the current prediction. (+20%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that VPS Vaasa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
48.4%	32.3%	19.4%

Mikkelin Palloilijat - VPS Vaasa Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Mikkelin Palloilijat will win (votes: 15 - 48.4%). VPS will win (votes: 6 - 19.4%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 32.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mikkelin Palloilijat: 30.8% – 66%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Ykkonen (Championship Group) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ykkonen (Championship Group)).

Recent matches Mikkelin Palloilijat is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

VPS is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mikkelin Palloilijat will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Mikkelin Palloilijat won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Mikkelin Palloilijat won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mikkelin Palloilijat
Finnish Ykkonen
30.07.21	TPS - Mikkelin Palloilijat	2:2 ✺
25.07.21	Mikkelin Palloilijat - Klubi 04	2:0 ✺
17.07.21	Ekenäs - Mikkelin Palloilijat	2:1 ✺
11.07.21	Mikkelin Palloilijat - RoPS	0:1 ✺
04.07.21	MuSa - Mikkelin Palloilijat	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TWLLT
- VPS Vaasa
Finnish Ykkonen
28.07.21	VPS Vaasa - FF Jaro	2:1 ✺
24.07.21	KPV Kokkola - VPS Vaasa	1:2 ✺
18.07.21	Gnistan - VPS Vaasa	2:0 ✺
30.06.21	VPS Vaasa - Ekenäs	2:1 ✺
22.06.21	VPS Vaasa - RoPS	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen
29.05.21	VPS Vaasa - Mikkelin Palloilijat	3:0
31.10.20	Mikkelin Palloilijat - VPS Vaasa	2:2
22.08.20	VPS Vaasa - Mikkelin Palloilijat	2:2

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