Match Info

Veikkausliiga - Round 13

Date: 27 June 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Markku.fi Areena (Helsinki) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Finland	19:00	Ruutu+
International	16:00	Onefootball


	Gnistan		VPS Vaasa

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.2	2.6	Watch
	2.50	3.40	2.60
	2.52	3.35	2.62
	2.68	3.46	2.73
	2.68	3.13	2.78	Watch
	2.6	3.4	2.7
	2.63	3.24	2.63	Watch
	2.5	3.2	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.47)	3.3 ↓ (3.35)	2.66 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gnistan
36.2%

Draw
28.5%

VPS Vaasa
35.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.2%

27.4%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

27.4%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gnistan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

VPS Vaasa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gnistan than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VPS Vaasa than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

Gnistan - VPS Vaasa Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Gnistan will win (votes: 3 - 50%). VPS will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Craninx A. (G) 27. Hannula O. 24. Gnanou R. 67. Obileye A. (C) 4. Marcelo Costa 26. Eremenko R. 12. Arko-Mensah E. 31. Jouhi A. 15. Europaeus G. 17. Akinyemi A. 11. Perez D.	41. Jalloh M. (G) 5. Ronnberg V. 6. Okereke E. 19. Haukioja M. (C) 24. Daoussi Y. 8. Lima P. 2. Mane L. 7. Turfkruier J. 11. Muzinga J. 14. Lindholm S. 15. Smyth L.
Substitutes
7. Atarah A. 20. Bjurstrom M. H. 2. Dahlstrom B. 14. Eremenko S. 19. Hanninen V. 10. Latonen J. 40. Ojala J. 22. Ramilson (G) 23. Ylatupa S.	26. Forsbacka R. 35. Keturi O. 33. Kuek A. 23. Niemi M. 13. Ogunniyi O. 1. Piispa A. (G) 34. Raisanen A.
Coaches
Leppalahti J.	Nuorela J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 1 - 0, Akinyemi A. ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, Smyth L. ⚽, Muzinga J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Marcelo Costa ↓, Ojala J. ↑,
57', Perez D. ↓, Ylatupa S. ↑,
65', Muzinga J. ↓, Raisanen A. ↑,
65', Ronnberg V. ↓, Niemi M. ↑,
69', Akinyemi A. ↓, Atarah A. ↑,
69', Hannula O. ↓, Latonen J. ↑,
76', Lindholm S. ↓, Ogunniyi O. ↑,
81', Ylatupa S. 🟨,
84', Eremenko R. ↓, Eremenko S. ↑,
85', Lima P. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gnistan won 2.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Gnistan: Bashkirov E. (Knee Injury) Launiala K. (Inactive) Lyberopoulos O. (Inactive) von Hellens L. (Inactive)

There will not play in VPS: van Duivenbooden S. (Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Gnistan won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:18. (average 1.4:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Gnistan won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.3:1.5).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Gnistan	29	11	9	9	43:41	2	42
6	VPS	30	11	7	12	31:34	-3	40

Last Results with these Odds

VPS Vaasa - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 35.44%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IF Gnistan
Finnish Veikkausliiga
23.06.26	FF Jaro - Gnistan	1:1 ✺
17.06.26	Gnistan - Lahti	1:0 ✺
13.06.26	IFK Mariehamn - Gnistan	0:3 ✺
30.05.26	Gnistan - SJK	3:2 ✺
23.05.26	Ilves - Gnistan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TWWWL
- VPS Vaasa
Finnish Veikkausliiga
23.06.26	VPS Vaasa - Oulu	5:1 ✺
17.06.26	SJK - VPS Vaasa	1:2 ✺
13.06.26	VPS Vaasa - KuPS Kuopio	1:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
10.06.26	KuPS Kuopio - VPS Vaasa	0:1 penalties ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
30.05.26	TPS - VPS Vaasa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
09.05.26	VPS Vaasa - Gnistan	1:1
15.08.25	Gnistan - VPS Vaasa	0:0
18.06.25	VPS Vaasa - Gnistan	0:0
23.10.24	VPS Vaasa - Gnistan	0:1
04.08.24	Gnistan - VPS Vaasa	3:0
20.04.24	VPS Vaasa - Gnistan	3:2
Finnish Ykkonen
16.10.21	Gnistan - VPS Vaasa	1:4

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