Match Info

COLOMBIA: Liga Women - Round 10

Date: 4 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Departamental Libertad (Pasto)


	Deportivo Pasto		Real Santander

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.1	6.25
	1.42	4.2	6.5
	1.42	4.32	6.4
	1.43	4.36	6.55
	1.42	4.2	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.57)	4.24 ↑ (4.04)	6.44 ↑ (5.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Pasto
64.3%

Draw
21.5%

Real Santander
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

22.9%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

17.2%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Pasto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Pasto's performance.

Real Santander has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (-20.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Pasto that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Santander than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Santander could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Chuquen C. (G) 17. Arcila V. 11. Cano A. 16. Gutierrez M. 6. Herrera M. 7. Ibarguen S. 3. Navas S. 21. Ramos S. 19. Sevillano H. 13. Torrealba J. 2. Torres M.	12. Patino N. (G) 21. Becerra S. 15. Beltran D. 4. Castillo L. 16. Castro P. 7. Cordoba M. 10. Garcia S. 5. Gomez A. 26. Martinez M. 11. Nino B. 8. Rodriguez S.
Substitutes
23. Angulo E. 4. Ararat E. 9. Celis N. 20. Orozco N. 15. Quinones E. 1. Rodriguez A. (G) 27. Sayas L.	18. Cano D. 6. Cuellar M. 14. Diaz H. 20. Mendivelso N. 24. Millan Y. 27. Montes M. 1. Saavedra M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
16', Arcila V. 🟨,
17', Gomez A. 🟨,
26', 1 - 0, Ibarguen S. ⚽, Herrera M. (A),
35', Castro P. ↓, Diaz H. ↑,
42', 2 - 0, Ibarguen S. (Pen),
42', Ibarguen S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Sevillano H. 🟨,
56', Ibarguen S. ↓, Orozco N. ↑,
60', Ramos S. ↓, Celis N. ↑,
62', Martinez M. ↓, Mendivelso N. ↑,
62', Beltran D. ↓, Montes M. ↑,
68', Navas S. 🟨,
80', Torrealba J. ↓, Angulo E. ↑,
80', Celis N. 🟨,
84', Gomez A. ↓, Cano D. ↑,
85', Becerra S. ↓, Cuellar M. ↑,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Pasto Women
Colombian Liga Women
28.04.24	La Equidad - Deportivo Pasto	1:2 ✺
22.04.24	Deportivo Pasto - Inter Palmira	2:3 ✺
13.04.24	Independiente Santa Fe - Deportivo Pasto	1:0 ✺
06.04.24	Deportivo Pasto - Atlético Nacional	1:1 ✺
23.03.24	Cúcuta Deportivo - Deportivo Pasto	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WLLTL
- Real Santander Women
Colombian Liga Women
20.04.24	Real Santander - La Equidad	1:3 ✺
10.04.24	Inter Palmira - Real Santander	3:2 ✺
06.04.24	Real Santander - Independiente Santa Fe	1:2 ✺
23.03.24	Atlético Nacional - Real Santander	8:0 ✺
17.03.24	Real Santander - Cúcuta Deportivo	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Liga Women
17.05.23	Deportivo Pasto - Real Santander	3:1

Deportivo Pasto - Real Santander: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide