Match Info

Super Liga - Round 15

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Complexul Sportiv Raional (Orhei) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Moldova	17:00	Liga TV


	Milsami Orhei		Zimbru Chişinău

	1	X	2
	3.40	3.35	1.88
	3.45	3.44	1.88
	3.46	3.57	1.91	Watch
	3.40	3.40	1.85
	3.51	3.36	1.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.44 (3.44)	3.42 ↓ (3.5)	1.88 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Milsami Orhei
26.1%

Draw
26.2%

Zimbru Chişinău
47.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26.7%

26.2%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

25.4%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milsami Orhei has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Zimbru Chişinău has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milsami Orhei than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zimbru Chişinău than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Milsami Orhei - Zimbru Chişinău Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Dujmovic F. (G) 29. Asmelash H. 11. Chele S. 22. Ghecev M. 10. Ginsari R. (C) 5. Nwaeze C. 14. Odubia P. 27. Platica S. 2. Posmac V. 34. Renato 25. Sejdiu A.	88. Dokic I. (G) 99. Betivu A. 3. Boico V. 22. Bonnah A. 7. Caio Dantas 24. Ceijas T. (C) 30. Macritchii A. 23. Marcello 8. Matteo Amoroso 14. Rosario R. 35. Zolotov N.
Substitutes
4. Angelov A. 17. Bulmaga L. 9. Dudziak K. 6. Ghimp I. 20. Igor Souza 13. Luchita V. 7. Silcenco C. 30. Takyi F. 35. Vornic D. (G)	17. Butucel T. 10. Cociuc E. 6. Dias P. 4. Gonta C. 18. Gutium A. 5. Italo 98. Lunov 16. Martin C. 71. Obrejan M. 20. Raileanu V. 92. Sirghi C. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Ginsari R. ⚽,
26', Matteo Amoroso (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 1 - 1, Matteo Amoroso ⚽,
55', 🟨,
56', Ginsari R. (Penalty Awarded),
69', 🟨,
69', 🟨,
78', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Milsami won 0.

In recent outings, Milsami has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Zimbru shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Zimbru holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Milsami has recorded 7 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:27 (averaging 1.1:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Milsami against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 10:7 goals (averaging 1:0.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Zimbru Chisinau	16	9	4	3	33:14	19	31
6	Milsami	16	4	7	5	18:23	-5	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Milsami Orhei
Moldovan Super Liga
11.10.26	Milsami Orhei - Politehnica UTM	3:3 ✺
20.09.26	Real Sireți - Milsami Orhei	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Milsami Orhei - Sheriff Tiraspol	0:1 ✺
30.08.26	Dacia Buiucani - Milsami Orhei	0:0 ✺
22.08.26	Milsami Orhei - Petrocub-Hîncești	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TWLTW
- Zimbru Chişinău
Moldovan Super Liga
11.10.26	Petrocub-Hîncești - Zimbru Chişinău	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Zimbru Chişinău - Dacia Buiucani	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Zimbru Chişinău - Politehnica UTM	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Real Sireți - Zimbru Chişinău	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Zimbru Chişinău - Sheriff Tiraspol	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Moldovan Super Liga
16.08.26	Zimbru Chişinău - Milsami Orhei	4:2
27.06.26	Milsami Orhei - Zimbru Chişinău	0:0
Moldovan Cup
13.05.26	Milsami Orhei - Zimbru Chişinău	0:1
06.05.26	Zimbru Chişinău - Milsami Orhei	2:0
Moldovan Super Liga
18.04.26	Zimbru Chişinău - Milsami Orhei	3:1
07.03.26	Milsami Orhei - Zimbru Chişinău	0:0
05.10.25	Milsami Orhei - Zimbru Chişinău	0:3

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