Match Info

Date: 16 January 2022, Sunday


	Minera		Bala Azul

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.1	2.5
	2.25	3.05	2.65
	2.35	2.95	2.75
	2.43	2.97	2.75
	2.47	3.06	2.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (2.5)	3.03 ↓ (3.2)	2.69 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Minera
37.2%

Draw
29.5%

Bala Azul
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

28.1%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

20.9%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Minera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Bala Azul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minera than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Minera that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bala Azul than the current prediction. (+15.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bala Azul could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Minera - Bala Azul Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Minera is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Bala Azul is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bala Azul could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Bala Azul have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Minera
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
09.01.22	Ciudad de Murcia - Minera	2:2 ✺
19.12.21	Yeclano Deportivo - Minera	2:1 ✺
12.12.21	Minera - Bullense	2:1 ✺
05.12.21	Cartagena B - Minera	4:0 ✺
28.11.21	Minera - La Unión	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TLWLT
- CD Bala Azul
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
12.01.22	Archena Sport - Bala Azul	3:2 ✺
09.01.22	Bala Azul - El Palmar	0:2 ✺
12.12.21	Huércal-Overa - Bala Azul	1:2 ✺
05.12.21	UCAM Murcia B - Bala Azul	0:1 ✺
28.11.21	Caravaca - Bala Azul	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.6 LLWWT

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