Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 17

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Caravaca		Bala Azul

	1	X	2
	2.68	2.92	2.52
	3.01	2.77	2.54
	2.8	2.75	2.5
	2.81	2.8	2.5
	3.1	2.71	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.6)	2.79 ↑ (2.63)	2.5 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caravaca
31.4%

Draw
32.4%

Bala Azul
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

34.3%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

32.8%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caravaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Bala Azul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bala Azul's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caravaca than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bala Azul than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bala Azul, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Caravaca - Bala Azul Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 11).

In recent matches, Caravaca has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bala Azul's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Caravaca won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Caravaca won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Bala Azul	5	1	2	2	4:5	-1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Caravaca
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
04.01.26	Olímpico de Totana - Caravaca	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	Caravaca - Cartagena B	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Caravaca - Yeclano B	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Minerva - Caravaca	1:0 ✺
16.11.25	Caravaca - Pulpileño	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TTWLW
- CD Bala Azul
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
04.01.26	Bala Azul - Cieza	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	Muleño - Bala Azul	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	Olímpico de Totana - Bala Azul	2:0 ✺
06.12.25	Bala Azul - Cartagena B	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Real Murcia B - Bala Azul	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
23.02.25	Caravaca - Bala Azul	0:0
10.04.22	Bala Azul - Caravaca	1:0
28.11.21	Caravaca - Bala Azul	1:1

Caravaca - Bala Azul: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide