Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 6

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Minera		Castellonense

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.30	4.60
	1.77	3.25	4.10
	1.71	3.50	4.95
	1.82	3.38	4.13	Watch
	1.69	3.40	4.75
	1.70	3.72	4.65
	1.77	3.35	4.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (2.18)	3.41 ↑ (3.17)	4.48 ↑ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Minera
52.8%

Draw
26.8%

Castellonense
20.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.3%

28.4%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

28.5%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Minera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Minera's performance.

Castellonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Castellonense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minera than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Minera that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellonense than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Castellonense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Minera - Castellonense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Ismael ⚽,
23', 1 - 1, Jove I. ⚽,
40', 2 - 1, Kouassi B. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
68', 3 - 1, Kamal M. ⚽,
85', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 8th and 3rd in the Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Promotion Play Offs).

In recent outings, Minera has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Castellonense is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Minera carries the favorite tag into this contest.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Castellonense	7	5	0	2	12:6	6	15
5	Deportiva Minera	7	4	2	1	10:6	4	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Minera
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
04.10.26	Minera - La Nucía	2:0 ✺
27.09.26	Alcoyano - Minera	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Minera - Orihuela	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Mallorca B - Minera	0:0 ✺
06.09.26	Minera - Peña Deportiva	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLTTW
- UD Castellonense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
04.10.26	Castellonense - Real Murcia B	3:0 ✺
27.09.26	Lorca Deportiva - Castellonense	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Castellonense - Cieza	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Castellonense - UCAM Murcia	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
19.08.26	Torrent - Castellonense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WLWWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Minera
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.26	Minera - Cartagena	✺

Minera - Castellonense