Match Info

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday


	Minera		Castellonense

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.15	3.25
	1.95	3.28	3.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.18)	3.22 ↑ (3.17)	3.36 ↑ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Minera
45.3%

Draw
28%

Castellonense
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

28.4%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

28.5%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Minera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Castellonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minera than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellonense than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Minera - Castellonense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 8th and 3rd in the Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Promotion Play Offs).

Minera has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Castellonense shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Minera holding a narrow advantage.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Castellonense	5	4	0	1	8:3	5	12
8	Deportiva Minera	5	2	2	1	5:4	1	8

Last Results with these Odds

Minera - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 41.29%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Minera
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
04.10.26	Minera - La Nucía	2:0 ✺
27.09.26	Alcoyano - Minera	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Minera - Orihuela	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Mallorca B - Minera	0:0 ✺
06.09.26	Minera - Peña Deportiva	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLTTW
- UD Castellonense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
04.10.26	Castellonense - Real Murcia B	3:0 ✺
27.09.26	Lorca Deportiva - Castellonense	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Castellonense - Cieza	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Castellonense - UCAM Murcia	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
19.08.26	Torrent - Castellonense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WLWWW

Minera - Castellonense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide