Match Info

MEXICO: Liga Premier Serie A - Reserves - Play Offs - Final

Date: 9 May 2024, Thursday


	Mineros de Fresnillo		Cimarrones de Sonora 2

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.2	2.75
	2.25	3.3	2.85
	2.31	3.19	2.9
	2.31	3.19	2.9
	2.31	3.32	2.88	Watch
	2.25	3.3	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.33)	3.25 ↑ (3.22)	2.86 ↓ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mineros de Fresnillo
40%

Draw
28.1%

Cimarrones de Sonora 2
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

28.7%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

29.2%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mineros de Fresnillo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Cimarrones de Sonora 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mineros de Fresnillo than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cimarrones de Sonora 2 than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Mineros de Fresnillo - Cimarrones de Sonora 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Blanco M. A. ⚽,
40', 2 - 0, Castillo E. P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+9', 🟥,

Preview

1st leg.

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mineros de Fresnillo won 1.

Mineros de Fresnillo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cimarrones de Sonora 2 in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Mineros de Fresnillo won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Mineros de Fresnillo won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mineros de Fresnillo
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
04.05.24	Correcaminos UAT 2 - Mineros de Fresnillo	2:1 ✺
01.05.24	Mineros de Fresnillo - Correcaminos UAT 2	2:0 ✺
26.04.24	Cimarrones de Sonora 2 - Mineros de Fresnillo	2:0 ✺
19.04.24	Alacranes de Durango - Mineros de Fresnillo	4:1 ✺
13.04.24	Mineros de Fresnillo - Los Cabos United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLLL
- Cimarrones de Sonora 2
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
04.05.24	Leones Negros 2 - Cimarrones de Sonora 2	0:1 ✺
01.05.24	Cimarrones de Sonora 2 - Leones Negros 2	1:0 ✺
26.04.24	Cimarrones de Sonora 2 - Mineros de Fresnillo	2:0 ✺
19.04.24	Cimarrones de Sonora 2 - Leones Negros 2	3:0 ✺
13.04.24	Tritones Vallarta - Cimarrones de Sonora 2	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
26.04.24	Cimarrones de Sonora 2 - Mineros de Fresnillo	2:0
11.03.23	Mineros de Fresnillo - Cimarrones de Sonora 2	0:1
15.10.22	Cimarrones de Sonora 2 - Mineros de Fresnillo	2:1
02.04.22	Cimarrones de Sonora 2 - Mineros de Fresnillo	2:2
20.11.21	Mineros de Fresnillo - Cimarrones de Sonora 2	3:2
10.04.21	Cimarrones de Sonora 2 - Mineros de Fresnillo	2:0
13.12.20	Mineros de Fresnillo - Cimarrones de Sonora 2	2:0

Mineros de Fresnillo - Cimarrones de Sonora 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide