Match Info

MEXICO: Liga Premier Serie A - Reserves - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 1 May 2024, Wednesday


	Cimarrones de Sonora 2		Leones Negros 2

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.4	4
	1.75	3.54	4.33
	1.72	3.59	4.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (2.08)	3.51 ↑ (3.26)	4.28 ↑ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cimarrones de Sonora 2
52.6%

Draw
26.1%

Leones Negros 2
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

28.4%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

27.7%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cimarrones de Sonora 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cimarrones de Sonora 2's performance.

Leones Negros 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leones Negros 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cimarrones de Sonora 2 than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cimarrones de Sonora 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones Negros 2 than the current prediction. (+5%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Coronado A. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

1st leg.

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cimarrones de Sonora 2 won 3.

Cimarrones de Sonora 2 is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Leones Negros 2 is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cimarrones de Sonora 2 will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Cimarrones de Sonora 2 won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 24-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Cimarrones de Sonora 2 won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cimarrones de Sonora 2
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
26.04.24	Cimarrones de Sonora 2 - Mineros de Fresnillo	2:0 ✺
19.04.24	Cimarrones de Sonora 2 - Leones Negros 2	3:0 ✺
13.04.24	Tritones Vallarta - Cimarrones de Sonora 2	0:0 ✺
05.04.24	Cimarrones de Sonora 2 - Colima	2:1 ✺
29.03.24	Tecos FC - Cimarrones de Sonora 2	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWTWL
- Leones Negros 2
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
27.04.24	Leones Negros 2 - Saltillo	4:1 ✺
19.04.24	Cimarrones de Sonora 2 - Leones Negros 2	3:0 ✺
13.04.24	Leones Negros 2 - Alacranes de Durango	1:2 ✺
08.04.24	Los Cabos United - Leones Negros 2	2:0 ✺
30.03.24	Leones Negros 2 - Mexicali	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
19.04.24	Cimarrones de Sonora 2 - Leones Negros 2	3:0
18.11.23	Leones Negros 2 - Cimarrones de Sonora 2	0:0
21.01.23	Cimarrones de Sonora 2 - Leones Negros 2	4:1
30.10.22	Cimarrones de Sonora 2 - Leones Negros 2	0:2
27.10.22	Leones Negros 2 - Cimarrones de Sonora 2	0:3
07.09.22	Leones Negros 2 - Cimarrones de Sonora 2	2:3
19.03.22	Cimarrones de Sonora 2 - Leones Negros 2	4:0

Cimarrones de Sonora 2 - Leones Negros 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide