Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 9

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday


	Mineros de Fresnillo		Los Cabos United

	1	X	2
	3.62	3.44	1.85
	2.98	3.95	1.98	Watch
	3	3.75	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↑ (2.98)	3.71 ↓ (3.95)	1.94 ↓ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mineros de Fresnillo
28.5%

Draw
24.6%

Los Cabos United
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

23.1%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

22.5%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mineros de Fresnillo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Los Cabos United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mineros de Fresnillo than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Cabos United than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Mineros de Fresnillo - Los Cabos United Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Los Cabos (votes: 2 - 100%).

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
81', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mineros de Fresnillo won 2.

Mineros de Fresnillo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Los Cabos is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Los Cabos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Los Cabos will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Mineros de Fresnillo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 0.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Mineros de Fresnillo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mineros de Fresnillo
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
13.10.25	Tigres de Álica - Mineros de Fresnillo	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Mineros de Fresnillo - Tritones Vallarta	2:2 ✺
26.09.25	Tecos FC - Mineros de Fresnillo	3:0 ✺
20.09.25	Mineros de Fresnillo - Guerreros de Autlán	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Mineros de Fresnillo - Tuzos UAZ	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WTLWL
- Los Cabos United
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
11.10.25	Los Cabos United - Cimarrones de Sonora	1:0 ✺
19.09.25	Alacranes de Durango - Los Cabos United	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Los Cabos United - La Piedad	3:1 ✺
06.09.25	Colima - Los Cabos United	1:5 ✺
23.08.25	Tuzos UAZ - Los Cabos United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
01.03.25	Los Cabos United - Mineros de Fresnillo	1:0
19.10.24	Mineros de Fresnillo - Los Cabos United	4:0
13.04.24	Mineros de Fresnillo - Los Cabos United	0:2
11.11.23	Los Cabos United - Mineros de Fresnillo	1:0
18.03.23	Los Cabos United - Mineros de Fresnillo	0:1
22.10.22	Mineros de Fresnillo - Los Cabos United	0:1

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